Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2025-01-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2025-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 133 1514 106 102 8 0 0 0
OW 0 392 86 301 203 90 14 0
VODI 0 99 72 201 115 128 105 0
ODI 0 24 15 134 48 109 147 0
CDI 0 20 5 58 48 160 276 0
VCDI 0 14 9 42 126 2626 12163 26173
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 360 1630 67 80 28 1 0 0
OW 94 283 63 133 132 65 2 0
VODI 4 174 47 148 92 142 3 0
ODI 0 31 26 124 53 144 5 0
CDI 0 30 9 65 39 199 54 0
VCDI 0 22 12 31 94 2606 8761 30013
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 131 1268 93 180 29 0 0 0
OW 12 152 56 127 200 28 0 0
VODI 2 59 24 296 375 108 7 0
ODI 0 11 5 60 90 202 23 0
CDI 0 0 2 1 1 326 177 3
VCDI 0 0 2 5 120 1721 11217 28753
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17 967 46 87 35 0 0 0
OW 5 201 60 117 217 35 0 0
VODI 1 45 14 84 352 247 4 0
ODI 0 0 5 44 279 198 49 0
CDI 0 1 7 6 114 371 143 4
VCDI 0 0 0 5 30 1752 12355 27969
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18 1077 79 123 53 0 0 0
OW 5 110 36 117 222 35 0 0
VODI 0 26 9 58 367 289 15 0
ODI 0 0 3 35 254 268 76 0
CDI 0 1 5 5 99 327 223 25
VCDI 0 0 0 5 32 1684 12237 27948

Date: 2025-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 731 37 37 17 0 0 0
OW 0 152 36 102 93 48 22 0
VODI 0 55 16 117 185 129 222 0
ODI 0 15 11 101 220 93 270 0
CDI 0 8 10 43 192 102 480 35
VCDI 0 2 3 10 81 960 10737 30494
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 793 43 62 47 4 0 0
OW 0 124 39 101 97 55 40 0
VODI 0 31 16 117 175 150 304 0
ODI 0 5 4 89 225 111 324 0
CDI 0 8 8 32 175 110 464 2
VCDI 0 2 3 9 69 902 10599 30527

Date: 2025-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 649 57 89 14 1 0 0
OW 0 98 24 97 78 45 4 0
VODI 0 43 19 75 132 125 114 0
ODI 0 0 2 38 200 199 386 0
CDI 0 1 0 38 311 243 400 87
VCDI 0 30 14 47 164 759 12927 28356
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 573 35 49 9 0 0 0
OW 0 182 45 104 51 4 0 0
VODI 0 35 18 107 171 136 59 0
ODI 0 0 4 32 181 194 394 0
CDI 0 0 0 40 287 248 417 65
VCDI 0 31 14 52 200 790 12961 28378

Date: 2025-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 391 36 13 2 0 0 0
OW 0 130 46 90 25 1 0 0
VODI 0 16 29 110 130 30 3 0
ODI 0 0 2 30 112 148 44 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 193 512 447 5
VCDI 0 0 0 14 143 1257 15164 26738
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 308 23 15 5 0 0 0
OW 0 211 61 76 32 5 0 0
VODI 0 18 28 130 141 129 82 0
ODI 0 0 1 20 85 159 322 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 142 283 700 16
VCDI 0 0 0 13 200 1372 14554 26727

Date: 2025-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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