Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2025-01-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2025-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67608 12122 174 156 9 0 0 0
OW 843 1598 243 525 284 107 14 0
VODI 1967 651 256 505 369 185 118 0
ODI 1685 259 96 401 480 429 261 0
CDI 0 236 81 342 767 1773 1269 19
VCDI 0 282 98 335 672 5297 30196 48098
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66934 13000 162 174 46 1 0 0
OW 913 1509 220 338 254 97 2 0
VODI 1948 663 225 501 344 219 17 0
ODI 1715 227 99 338 439 472 103 0
CDI 0 212 81 301 636 1582 1178 9
VCDI 0 244 71 259 598 4512 27003 53164
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64635 15024 280 359 42 0 0 0
OW 827 1092 241 483 379 52 0 0
VODI 1925 281 180 661 694 186 7 0
ODI 1741 101 45 275 437 477 80 0
CDI 0 50 34 168 454 1409 1602 3
VCDI 0 10 10 61 367 3474 29334 53330
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63743 14718 281 278 99 15 0 0
OW 819 998 242 415 420 150 1 0
VODI 1897 300 145 388 612 489 20 0
ODI 1778 76 52 252 600 549 177 0
CDI 0 61 31 122 554 1878 2124 5
VCDI 0 20 18 40 182 3037 27643 55581
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63749 15091 362 401 150 19 0 0
OW 823 711 199 420 445 146 2 0
VODI 1915 236 127 345 674 608 47 0
ODI 1750 78 44 206 576 691 257 0
CDI 0 42 28 94 484 1897 2482 30
VCDI 0 15 9 29 138 2757 27177 55556

Date: 2025-01-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63258 14077 702 185 38 0 0 0
OW 829 1288 247 406 284 58 22 0
VODI 1881 417 165 479 558 313 224 0
ODI 1801 149 69 275 568 501 296 0
CDI 0 114 61 216 601 1665 1205 37
VCDI 0 56 44 148 466 3052 25803 58252
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63282 14600 767 298 112 8 0 0
OW 818 945 238 408 358 133 40 0
VODI 1896 336 150 457 510 441 317 0
ODI 1773 112 58 264 593 598 368 0
CDI 0 79 46 192 557 1616 1634 7
VCDI 0 29 29 90 385 2793 25191 58282

Date: 2025-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65828 12409 200 268 84 5 0 0
OW 798 994 253 387 262 111 4 0
VODI 1880 362 133 412 476 392 127 0
ODI 1796 138 68 210 504 595 453 0
CDI 0 116 35 210 767 1485 1245 109
VCDI 0 105 56 167 537 2721 30574 53534
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65822 12169 165 210 55 0 0 0
OW 804 1185 275 380 257 56 0 0
VODI 1878 403 146 463 508 413 66 0
ODI 1798 154 68 226 489 651 470 0
CDI 0 120 39 218 755 1420 1363 99
VCDI 0 93 52 157 566 2769 30504 53544

Date: 2025-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65499 12313 224 200 34 5 0 0
OW 795 1004 208 434 241 45 3 0
VODI 1856 341 179 360 504 262 38 0
ODI 1829 108 66 254 364 488 144 0
CDI 0 57 35 177 605 1602 1637 11
VCDI 0 28 18 87 335 2490 33247 52683
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65457 11595 161 187 65 11 0 0
OW 837 1287 229 353 201 82 10 0
VODI 1856 590 142 413 458 341 134 0
ODI 1829 206 90 185 361 556 475 0
CDI 0 105 77 247 561 1275 2098 24
VCDI 0 68 31 127 437 2627 32352 52670

Date: 2025-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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