Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2025-01-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68204 9587 64 64 29 0 0 0
OW 942 1107 108 161 70 20 0 0
VODI 1982 528 154 347 228 143 5 0
ODI 1666 214 60 158 263 283 40 0
CDI 0 213 109 266 397 771 521 0
VCDI 0 71 27 111 437 1251 8954 3307
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67521 10090 66 68 9 1 0 0
OW 896 979 173 163 113 47 0 0
VODI 1982 405 150 362 234 111 23 0
ODI 1681 162 60 180 293 226 88 0
CDI 21 109 74 185 545 973 788 0
VCDI 15 18 17 60 171 1366 9011 3426
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65697 11939 136 75 3 0 0 0
OW 838 704 215 323 106 19 0 0
VODI 1989 228 137 382 302 122 17 0
ODI 1656 89 43 201 382 250 72 0
CDI 0 22 31 156 374 1136 909 0
VCDI 0 0 0 17 62 919 8584 4727
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67241 10013 128 56 3 0 0 0
OW 861 841 183 250 67 9 0 0
VODI 1974 402 130 284 259 83 10 0
ODI 1678 156 80 229 349 345 97 0
CDI 0 95 76 180 507 1377 755 0
VCDI 0 7 18 71 166 1537 9052 3293
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67279 10306 176 107 10 0 0 0
OW 831 675 178 292 140 22 2 0
VODI 2000 354 116 268 280 169 27 0
ODI 1644 114 81 215 364 425 160 0
CDI 0 60 50 133 422 1237 945 0
VCDI 0 5 14 55 135 1498 8780 3293

Date: 2025-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66840 10381 75 73 4 0 0 0
OW 810 1048 130 174 113 20 0 0
VODI 1954 397 151 317 214 54 19 0
ODI 1702 155 64 230 394 262 108 0
CDI 0 152 73 232 496 1430 1100 0
VCDI 0 86 26 128 257 1264 8332 3597
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66847 10785 109 155 21 1 0 0
OW 811 817 156 184 184 35 1 0
VODI 1985 349 134 349 255 90 41 0
ODI 1663 119 54 198 385 410 151 0
CDI 0 90 47 169 446 1316 1156 0
VCDI 0 59 19 99 187 1178 8210 3597

Date: 2025-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65524 12204 130 107 17 0 0 0
OW 811 952 201 292 120 22 0 0
VODI 1943 149 135 385 296 78 0 0
ODI 1718 40 39 153 401 285 30 0
CDI 0 30 30 126 428 1030 706 0
VCDI 0 0 3 25 204 902 8531 4815
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65534 12049 169 211 48 2 0 0
OW 808 856 130 208 158 50 0 0
VODI 1965 316 132 283 253 147 21 0
ODI 1689 104 58 188 272 342 186 0
CDI 0 46 41 156 449 995 1266 14
VCDI 0 4 8 42 286 781 7794 4801

Date: 2025-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63539 13618 272 341 49 3 0 0
OW 801 667 131 293 276 35 0 0
VODI 1910 157 92 243 295 162 8 0
ODI 1754 58 26 146 220 304 81 0
CDI 0 36 21 116 286 1032 1929 0
VCDI 0 4 6 16 57 551 8352 4975
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63543 13404 276 432 156 15 0 0
OW 799 743 97 224 219 77 1 0
VODI 1936 237 90 206 282 207 49 0
ODI 1726 95 41 133 198 378 202 0
CDI 0 58 40 135 236 806 2007 0
VCDI 0 3 4 25 92 604 8111 4975

Date: 2025-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63916 12772 205 192 40 4 0 0
OW 825 787 148 247 210 65 0 0
VODI 1890 266 118 293 279 249 5 0
ODI 1790 66 46 166 251 388 100 0
CDI 0 44 26 106 403 1577 1112 1
VCDI 0 7 4 43 212 1501 8944 3564
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63953 12638 245 292 122 38 0 0
OW 805 752 114 239 221 111 0 0
VODI 1911 316 72 188 248 315 25 0
ODI 1752 150 55 116 170 508 182 0
CDI 0 74 53 164 395 1315 1244 1
VCDI 0 12 8 48 239 1497 8710 3564


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