Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2025-01-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85 611 3 3 0 0 0 0
OW 10 256 9 14 3 0 0 0
VODI 1 91 34 34 21 8 0 0
ODI 0 42 9 51 98 49 2 0
CDI 0 51 9 25 98 121 12 0
VCDI 0 136 34 74 153 522 9158 20255
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61 580 16 5 1 0 0 0
OW 0 222 24 26 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 93 26 52 29 2 0 0
ODI 0 40 10 25 75 76 22 0
CDI 0 42 9 29 70 219 38 0
VCDI 0 143 35 87 100 460 8578 20882
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 105 670 2 1 0 0 0 0
OW 1 251 23 10 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 97 31 42 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 47 19 47 27 8 0 0
CDI 0 69 26 67 131 104 36 0
VCDI 0 11 17 51 262 723 10668 18530
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2025-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 184 686 3 2 0 0 0 0
OW 4 245 6 3 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 131 16 24 3 2 0 0
ODI 0 77 11 25 22 20 0 0
CDI 0 92 20 61 107 84 5 15
VCDI 0 159 65 213 422 1454 11313 16607
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 188 776 3 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 207 11 6 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 159 18 29 4 2 0 0
ODI 0 67 26 38 30 17 0 0
CDI 0 67 25 139 182 110 2 36
VCDI 0 114 38 116 338 1431 11316 16586

Date: 2025-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 223 571 8 4 0 0 0 0
OW 6 203 18 22 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 114 26 56 10 2 0 0
ODI 0 43 15 50 49 18 0 0
CDI 0 66 3 33 114 143 35 0
VCDI 0 200 41 122 351 846 8965 19725
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 229 676 13 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 156 24 32 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 128 32 72 20 2 0 0
ODI 0 45 9 52 83 33 0 0
CDI 0 50 4 41 184 205 52 0
VCDI 0 142 29 80 237 769 8948 19725

Date: 2025-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 121 604 4 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 194 19 12 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 104 43 53 22 0 0 0
ODI 0 11 14 59 70 8 0 0
CDI 0 30 13 44 72 124 36 0
VCDI 0 14 8 66 138 714 7767 21713
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 119 595 14 11 6 0 0 0
OW 2 148 26 31 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 101 23 57 47 11 0 0
ODI 0 68 20 42 53 42 3 0
CDI 0 24 7 34 55 202 148 1
VCDI 0 21 11 61 124 591 7652 21712

Date: 2025-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 41 550 15 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 81 50 65 14 1 0 0
VODI 0 38 17 67 39 2 0 0
ODI 0 21 10 18 67 29 0 0
CDI 0 23 12 37 64 202 35 15
VCDI 0 2 2 13 37 508 8212 21784
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 41 474 24 30 14 1 0 0
OW 0 120 26 38 18 10 0 0
VODI 0 65 31 65 57 26 3 0
ODI 0 29 8 29 46 52 8 0
CDI 0 27 14 32 45 181 148 10
VCDI 0 0 3 17 41 472 8088 21789

Date: 2025-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 43 468 4 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 143 14 27 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 89 18 19 34 11 0 0
ODI 0 38 17 40 34 40 4 0
CDI 0 39 24 59 74 186 18 0
VCDI 0 9 8 23 42 481 6742 23302
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 43 402 9 18 16 1 0 0
OW 0 173 12 26 34 20 4 0
VODI 0 144 22 30 27 45 0 0
ODI 0 40 16 34 47 65 3 0
CDI 0 20 15 31 31 177 104 2
VCDI 0 7 11 35 55 410 6653 23300


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