Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-12-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68030 10396 131 73 8 4 0 0
OW 830 632 240 448 165 20 0 0
VODI 2092 193 128 401 482 150 2 0
ODI 1528 72 44 144 446 432 48 0
CDI 0 24 37 108 389 1698 1467 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 21 535 7770 3674
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67918 9973 75 54 11 0 0 0
OW 824 858 252 338 117 19 8 0
VODI 2040 292 154 487 364 150 41 0
ODI 1596 99 46 170 434 416 110 0
CDI 0 80 27 108 358 1246 1254 0
VCDI 0 21 23 35 85 912 8702 3165
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67919 10068 83 72 3 0 0 0
OW 848 910 255 271 64 1 0 0
VODI 2009 235 123 532 422 77 17 0
ODI 1636 73 30 108 488 242 41 0
CDI 0 82 48 64 334 1068 607 0
VCDI 0 14 13 91 180 1533 9752 2549
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68603 9366 47 62 12 0 0 0
OW 917 1152 118 128 81 17 0 0
VODI 1996 502 179 346 243 116 30 0
ODI 1654 175 63 215 268 189 74 0
CDI 0 176 88 236 398 803 530 0
VCDI 0 119 39 120 415 1431 9462 2492
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68672 9878 71 85 21 5 0 0
OW 858 901 157 208 119 19 0 0
VODI 2026 392 159 334 289 168 27 0
ODI 1614 129 47 200 283 296 101 0
CDI 0 145 74 193 422 781 723 0
VCDI 0 45 26 87 283 1287 9245 2492

Date: 2024-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67931 9753 93 40 18 8 0 0
OW 923 1050 147 167 82 35 4 0
VODI 1976 483 170 375 212 92 36 0
ODI 1674 190 68 173 279 205 92 0
CDI 0 168 91 235 541 539 691 0
VCDI 0 37 24 73 330 1385 9266 3206
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68024 10261 150 95 40 24 3 0
OW 838 778 164 256 141 43 11 0
VODI 2012 376 153 333 230 155 56 0
ODI 1630 126 47 154 319 267 154 0
CDI 0 120 64 178 524 555 849 0
VCDI 0 20 15 47 208 1220 9016 3206

Date: 2024-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67089 10786 116 71 9 0 0 0
OW 846 822 239 238 94 14 0 0
VODI 2005 225 167 479 337 87 1 0
ODI 1667 43 32 195 357 253 33 0
CDI 11 17 33 101 409 1189 530 0
VCDI 1 0 2 25 67 966 8631 4675
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67106 10744 167 130 38 27 0 0
OW 826 642 194 253 167 68 11 0
VODI 2000 331 134 366 281 155 38 0
ODI 1663 91 26 141 301 328 152 0
CDI 18 83 56 166 377 936 1014 0
VCDI 6 2 12 53 109 995 7980 4675

Date: 2025-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65168 11979 259 216 27 0 0 0
OW 838 763 161 286 107 27 0 0
VODI 1980 263 128 323 282 127 20 0
ODI 1668 95 67 187 405 288 110 0
CDI 0 51 37 153 373 1160 1015 0
VCDI 0 19 10 20 110 1018 9020 4102
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65191 11925 296 260 48 18 6 0
OW 813 657 133 264 142 82 34 0
VODI 1975 331 100 272 239 151 122 0
ODI 1675 131 62 198 327 284 256 0
CDI 0 111 55 146 406 1007 1110 0
VCDI 0 15 16 45 142 1078 8637 4102

Date: 2025-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67257 9981 57 53 1 0 0 0
OW 835 965 147 214 80 17 0 0
VODI 1967 433 155 281 241 54 13 0
ODI 1685 173 66 215 410 297 114 0
CDI 0 138 67 235 594 1499 986 0
VCDI 0 46 23 108 202 1447 8101 3705
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67259 9781 89 72 46 8 9 0
OW 828 886 101 168 148 53 32 0
VODI 1957 573 135 219 175 122 60 0
ODI 1700 222 71 201 292 295 212 0
CDI 0 204 80 291 599 1054 624 0
VCDI 0 70 39 155 268 1782 8277 3705


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