Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-12-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 676 7 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 183 23 24 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 107 41 63 14 2 0 0
ODI 0 21 52 99 46 40 0 0
CDI 0 11 11 79 209 354 282 0
VCDI 0 8 3 10 50 575 8685 20403
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 575 10 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 206 32 36 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 132 19 63 44 7 1 0
ODI 0 61 28 63 71 28 9 0
CDI 0 38 39 84 105 169 281 0
VCDI 0 1 4 29 69 262 7480 22132
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6 645 15 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 240 11 25 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 114 33 85 15 0 0 0
ODI 0 30 24 94 69 18 3 0
CDI 0 17 30 67 112 205 121 0
VCDI 0 1 3 39 65 324 7150 22513
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 48 609 6 3 0 0 0 0
OW 2 267 11 16 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 98 23 28 48 1 0 0
ODI 0 34 17 42 96 51 2 0
CDI 0 40 14 35 101 138 18 0
VCDI 0 56 26 74 104 339 8685 21048
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 50 755 8 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 188 19 16 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 70 28 57 80 12 0 0
ODI 0 33 10 38 108 87 11 0
CDI 0 30 14 25 95 196 70 0
VCDI 0 28 18 56 63 234 8624 21048

Date: 2024-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 116 565 14 5 1 0 0 0
OW 14 217 22 26 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 92 20 48 24 2 0 0
ODI 0 43 8 25 82 90 16 0
CDI 0 53 7 23 67 162 7 13
VCDI 0 187 32 82 115 535 8817 20546
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 125 691 32 19 3 0 0 0
OW 5 156 15 44 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 77 15 38 57 56 9 0
ODI 0 46 9 22 77 132 11 0
CDI 0 51 12 27 61 176 60 33
VCDI 0 136 20 59 78 425 8760 20526

Date: 2024-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80 676 9 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 256 12 18 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 109 45 43 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 48 10 54 30 2 0 0
CDI 0 58 31 79 132 175 24 0
VCDI 0 4 7 57 124 500 9880 19612
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79 726 15 19 1 0 0 0
OW 1 166 17 23 12 2 0 0
VODI 0 107 21 38 36 40 0 0
ODI 0 38 21 43 66 111 5 0
CDI 0 38 11 44 73 162 95 7
VCDI 0 76 29 84 105 362 9804 19605

Date: 2025-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 130 668 2 1 0 0 0 0
OW 4 272 13 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 124 21 22 1 1 0 0
ODI 0 61 29 32 22 14 0 0
CDI 0 71 25 88 113 78 7 8
VCDI 0 46 27 129 445 1214 13508 14904
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 131 656 14 4 0 0 0 0
OW 3 208 14 17 3 3 0 0
VODI 0 121 25 39 49 11 0 0
ODI 0 62 19 67 98 11 0 0
CDI 0 66 17 72 130 90 20 12
VCDI 0 129 28 75 301 1192 13495 14900

Date: 2025-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 218 627 11 1 0 0 0 0
OW 8 241 10 10 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 119 29 23 13 3 0 0
ODI 0 62 15 52 22 23 0 0
CDI 0 78 9 49 125 114 7 19
VCDI 0 222 66 185 344 1224 9932 18220
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 219 508 27 4 0 0 0 0
OW 7 226 10 23 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 142 23 64 32 10 0 0
ODI 0 91 14 63 85 16 0 0
CDI 0 100 16 42 132 98 31 15
VCDI 0 282 50 124 250 1240 9908 18224


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