Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-12-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 619 2066 45 51 11 0 0 0
OW 76 621 108 200 52 22 0 0
VODI 41 158 67 256 319 257 0 0
ODI 0 11 7 41 132 284 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 109 888 436 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 182 2658 10938 25188
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 270 1367 44 46 5 0 0 0
OW 14 688 83 205 188 31 0 0
VODI 27 192 43 222 358 245 8 0
ODI 3 9 3 37 187 479 24 0
CDI 0 0 2 13 127 609 491 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 121 1983 10580 27155
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 188 965 24 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 846 138 128 20 0 0 0
VODI 0 221 107 339 204 19 0 0
ODI 0 4 17 123 680 255 5 0
CDI 0 10 4 29 235 844 144 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 117 2118 10292 27774
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 264 860 26 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 749 154 90 18 1 0 0
VODI 0 326 87 187 287 21 0 0
ODI 0 33 22 136 527 371 7 0
CDI 0 0 1 46 404 888 164 1
VCDI 0 0 0 6 391 1861 10791 27131
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 264 1128 71 55 0 0 0 0
OW 0 620 143 83 48 0 0 0
VODI 0 190 55 195 417 66 0 0
ODI 0 30 20 110 449 398 34 0
CDI 0 0 1 31 338 976 278 8
VCDI 0 0 0 7 375 1702 10650 27124

Date: 2024-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 183 952 15 6 0 0 0 0
OW 6 757 59 97 5 0 0 0
VODI 34 400 66 291 319 5 0 0
ODI 10 137 47 209 431 147 0 0
CDI 0 55 15 106 353 979 435 4
VCDI 0 12 7 21 147 1901 10875 26780
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 183 1314 37 31 0 0 0 0
OW 6 561 64 191 58 0 0 0
VODI 30 257 53 218 396 54 0 0
ODI 14 134 39 228 348 211 10 0
CDI 0 46 16 57 332 826 369 12
VCDI 0 1 0 5 121 1941 10931 26772

Date: 2024-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 275 1259 15 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 751 160 265 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 199 127 382 430 6 0 0
ODI 0 14 9 175 612 238 0 0
CDI 0 7 2 34 212 931 68 7
VCDI 0 9 11 31 150 1742 6989 30736
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 275 1325 31 21 0 0 0 0
OW 0 598 101 223 59 0 0 0
VODI 0 253 103 249 403 40 0 0
ODI 0 33 65 267 350 118 0 0
CDI 0 30 23 123 410 642 52 62
VCDI 0 0 1 14 192 2117 7005 30681

Date: 2025-01-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 437 1417 33 23 0 0 0 0
OW 7 635 139 302 53 0 0 0
VODI 0 167 71 218 234 138 0 0
ODI 0 32 32 137 310 302 0 0
CDI 0 14 7 91 155 634 39 9
VCDI 0 20 14 35 145 2096 11400 26520
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 428 1426 53 70 1 0 0 0
OW 16 488 79 179 34 8 0 0
VODI 0 243 92 258 256 90 0 0
ODI 0 65 38 118 220 169 0 0
CDI 0 28 21 127 193 464 42 52
VCDI 0 35 13 54 193 2439 11397 26477

Date: 2025-01-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 133 1514 106 102 8 0 0 0
OW 0 392 86 301 203 90 14 0
VODI 0 99 72 201 115 128 105 0
ODI 0 24 15 134 48 109 147 0
CDI 0 20 5 58 48 160 276 0
VCDI 0 14 9 42 126 2626 12163 26173
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 132 1580 103 99 30 2 0 0
OW 1 278 69 232 77 66 4 0
VODI 0 120 78 262 213 132 82 0
ODI 0 36 19 111 45 137 132 0
CDI 0 38 17 97 64 195 273 3
VCDI 0 11 7 37 119 2581 12214 26170


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