Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-12-19

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71855 8651 138 15 1 0 0 0
OW 863 1055 184 229 91 4 1 0
VODI 2281 258 118 266 284 170 23 0
ODI 1304 71 55 137 208 314 73 0
CDI 0 34 37 127 310 937 498 0
VCDI 0 0 2 49 142 1292 8289 2496
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70492 9506 55 26 1 0 0 0
OW 853 1120 231 242 97 9 1 0
VODI 2234 328 138 293 310 193 38 0
ODI 1361 102 54 134 215 290 119 0
CDI 0 56 54 192 341 1136 623 0
VCDI 0 0 0 10 97 1415 7868 2628
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69627 10276 68 32 8 4 0 0
OW 840 941 236 319 67 18 0 0
VODI 2179 219 149 405 358 80 12 0
ODI 1424 59 25 129 346 321 15 0
CDI 0 28 30 61 275 1109 593 0
VCDI 0 1 8 32 85 1025 8912 2546
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68646 10184 110 48 8 8 0 0
OW 832 741 247 462 104 23 0 0
VODI 2119 173 120 454 401 150 5 0
ODI 1494 55 32 174 420 386 36 0
CDI 0 37 27 101 368 1572 1337 0
VCDI 0 3 1 22 107 592 7982 3281
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68647 10407 170 115 8 7 0 0
OW 837 541 217 518 149 33 0 0
VODI 2144 158 95 363 477 180 7 0
ODI 1463 53 31 151 384 472 89 0
CDI 0 34 24 99 316 1444 1428 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 74 595 7836 3281

Date: 2024-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67990 10137 135 54 19 0 0 0
OW 827 736 290 407 116 25 0 0
VODI 2071 275 132 411 454 144 18 0
ODI 1559 97 60 162 434 414 55 0
CDI 0 43 36 121 394 1621 1061 0
VCDI 0 1 8 22 71 895 8197 3370
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67992 10386 219 136 26 0 0 0
OW 834 534 241 446 194 43 0 0
VODI 2093 237 99 325 498 213 24 0
ODI 1528 104 63 131 346 559 111 0
CDI 0 28 34 118 350 1419 1316 0
VCDI 0 0 5 21 74 865 7880 3370

Date: 2024-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68054 9936 88 40 2 0 0 0
OW 825 1000 265 264 58 4 0 0
VODI 2022 164 163 566 452 77 0 0
ODI 1618 45 16 120 618 331 17 0
CDI 0 42 20 58 246 1412 478 0
VCDI 0 23 9 43 56 1029 9706 2995
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68052 9919 168 92 19 0 0 0
OW 831 711 209 378 109 39 0 0
VODI 2045 296 96 358 481 194 35 0
ODI 1591 149 39 103 409 497 91 0
CDI 0 102 37 110 338 1179 1397 0
VCDI 0 33 12 50 76 944 8678 2995

Date: 2024-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69088 9005 67 35 14 0 0 0
OW 885 1059 181 167 81 17 0 0
VODI 2007 380 145 415 279 102 21 0
ODI 1647 129 44 167 353 173 72 0
CDI 0 149 62 171 376 631 721 0
VCDI 0 72 33 119 265 1360 9636 2734
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69084 8928 107 93 43 4 0 0
OW 890 942 164 255 124 33 9 0
VODI 2032 428 106 283 348 160 95 0
ODI 1621 227 57 149 284 261 239 0
CDI 0 180 57 172 417 749 933 0
VCDI 0 89 41 122 152 1076 9174 2734

Date: 2024-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68204 9587 64 64 29 0 0 0
OW 942 1107 108 161 70 20 0 0
VODI 1982 528 154 347 228 143 5 0
ODI 1666 214 60 158 263 283 40 0
CDI 0 213 109 266 397 771 521 0
VCDI 0 71 27 111 437 1251 8954 3307
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68233 9779 116 136 68 34 0 0
OW 917 925 116 243 157 93 4 0
VODI 2018 479 99 242 231 225 60 0
ODI 1626 261 68 162 225 312 192 0
CDI 0 208 92 223 479 688 521 0
VCDI 0 68 31 101 264 1116 8743 3307


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