Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-12-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3854 1848 25 27 17 2 0 0
OW 66 606 39 117 91 0 0 0
VODI 0 416 90 215 289 230 0 0
ODI 0 20 12 58 203 511 1 0
CDI 0 0 2 26 145 508 197 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 111 1553 11512 23072
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3332 1668 5 1 0 0 0 0
OW 137 732 53 66 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 397 47 140 189 34 0 0
ODI 0 144 52 146 333 454 59 0
CDI 0 0 1 40 341 434 237 0
VCDI 0 0 0 18 200 1976 12115 22496
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3042 1852 21 8 0 0 0 0
OW 83 949 33 58 5 0 0 0
VODI 2 245 87 182 160 1 0 0
ODI 0 31 24 142 418 156 0 0
CDI 0 8 7 33 330 559 153 0
VCDI 0 0 8 51 261 2505 12652 21800
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2923 2178 10 14 0 0 0 0
OW 91 736 42 60 7 0 0 0
VODI 1 317 54 142 98 71 1 0
ODI 0 89 47 115 212 111 3 0
CDI 0 23 30 134 421 405 27 2
VCDI 0 0 1 57 369 3490 14058 19527
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2963 2403 17 31 1 0 0 0
OW 51 508 47 65 25 2 0 0
VODI 1 322 43 110 74 66 1 0
ODI 0 99 49 117 183 105 2 0
CDI 0 11 28 152 428 417 71 10
VCDI 0 0 0 47 396 3487 14015 19519

Date: 2024-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2458 2226 26 24 5 0 0 0
OW 200 480 66 143 29 0 0 0
VODI 3 277 60 232 121 19 0 0
ODI 0 93 48 116 206 126 3 0
CDI 0 2 8 90 378 587 82 0
VCDI 0 0 0 56 422 3673 13637 19970
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2543 2320 46 57 14 0 0 0
OW 117 364 60 159 44 2 0 0
VODI 1 265 52 169 99 46 0 0
ODI 0 123 43 128 176 92 9 0
CDI 0 6 7 91 401 626 199 2
VCDI 0 0 0 57 427 3639 13514 19968

Date: 2024-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2195 2245 14 11 28 0 0 0
OW 24 741 66 82 39 1 0 0
VODI 0 164 107 258 180 28 0 0
ODI 0 4 17 169 253 232 1 0
CDI 0 0 1 13 147 1050 188 1
VCDI 0 0 0 1 231 2872 14069 20434
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2197 2203 40 51 32 0 0 0
OW 22 420 62 136 101 5 0 0
VODI 0 321 46 130 138 57 1 0
ODI 0 151 36 107 118 140 7 0
CDI 0 59 21 100 169 692 285 0
VCDI 0 0 0 10 320 3289 13965 20435

Date: 2024-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1697 2293 39 26 0 15 0 0
OW 53 566 52 132 85 16 0 0
VODI 0 143 24 110 256 101 0 0
ODI 0 24 23 34 171 257 3 0
CDI 0 1 5 51 209 999 243 0
VCDI 0 0 4 52 259 2773 13384 21766
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1721 2261 45 64 25 15 0 0
OW 29 316 37 117 134 31 0 0
VODI 0 287 27 76 209 176 7 0
ODI 0 82 6 25 124 174 22 0
CDI 0 81 24 53 117 639 303 0
VCDI 0 0 8 70 371 3126 13298 21766

Date: 2024-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 619 2066 45 51 11 0 0 0
OW 76 621 108 200 52 22 0 0
VODI 41 158 67 256 319 257 0 0
ODI 0 11 7 41 132 284 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 109 888 436 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 182 2658 10938 25188
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 641 2105 61 85 45 8 0 0
OW 95 454 55 100 57 61 0 0
VODI 0 223 80 221 204 264 11 0
ODI 0 64 24 106 129 330 28 0
CDI 0 10 7 26 103 595 365 0
VCDI 0 0 0 29 267 2851 10974 25188


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