Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-12-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77393 10595 190 241 185 46 0 0
OW 973 1710 219 372 250 89 0 0
VODI 2417 835 274 699 577 401 12 0
ODI 1155 71 79 330 703 934 105 0
CDI 0 20 25 172 723 2169 1030 0
VCDI 0 0 0 19 322 4738 30587 40150
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77158 10073 89 101 83 2 0 0
OW 1025 2114 162 184 150 21 4 0
VODI 2344 1106 245 485 401 120 13 0
ODI 1248 302 178 492 825 644 100 0
CDI 0 20 46 267 1228 2057 743 14
VCDI 0 0 0 20 404 4728 25721 45893
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76026 11262 96 106 46 10 0 0
OW 979 2391 249 244 129 37 4 0
VODI 2336 514 299 700 454 138 45 0
ODI 1248 59 63 361 860 613 103 0
CDI 0 9 17 113 697 1999 480 1
VCDI 0 0 8 61 377 4525 25704 47447
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74983 11878 123 64 20 0 0 0
OW 956 1918 320 434 200 11 0 0
VODI 2301 581 200 543 561 310 2 0
ODI 1283 144 82 298 578 575 43 0
CDI 0 56 44 254 844 1716 553 2
VCDI 0 0 1 67 460 5834 29794 42777
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75034 12323 171 141 22 0 0 0
OW 908 1518 301 411 238 17 0 0
VODI 2326 555 177 511 578 373 2 0
ODI 1255 142 81 290 554 670 62 0
CDI 0 36 40 257 823 1809 869 12
VCDI 0 3 0 50 448 5577 29459 42767

Date: 2024-12-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74159 11831 87 46 7 0 0 0
OW 1069 1742 305 451 170 13 0 0
VODI 2265 649 201 585 509 286 65 0
ODI 1329 191 103 298 514 586 93 0
CDI 0 38 47 265 760 1977 989 9
VCDI 0 0 0 62 549 5231 34506 38823
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74251 12169 162 152 56 0 0 0
OW 984 1417 259 441 243 30 2 0
VODI 2282 612 175 517 466 448 43 0
ODI 1305 222 107 281 499 598 181 0
CDI 0 31 40 256 717 2009 1472 18
VCDI 0 0 0 60 528 5008 33955 38814

Date: 2024-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72531 12946 211 250 84 4 0 0
OW 858 1285 268 482 311 66 4 0
VODI 2220 667 179 461 534 394 90 0
ODI 1376 265 83 230 416 615 248 0
CDI 0 116 76 289 582 1769 1400 0
VCDI 0 3 3 21 442 5037 33550 40444
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72522 12563 192 219 75 5 0 0
OW 867 1457 248 484 303 70 5 0
VODI 2222 833 201 466 570 408 77 0
ODI 1374 309 98 271 447 645 270 0
CDI 0 118 79 261 501 1773 1506 6
VCDI 0 2 2 32 473 4984 33434 40438

Date: 2024-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70666 13802 197 136 19 18 0 0
OW 918 1288 330 525 280 44 0 0
VODI 2174 370 171 572 731 320 11 0
ODI 1429 87 56 232 583 787 78 0
CDI 0 33 45 156 555 2711 1927 1
VCDI 0 2 8 91 379 3869 32724 42485
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70714 13227 210 170 64 28 0 0
OW 866 1248 249 514 347 80 1 0
VODI 2162 697 186 470 716 543 80 0
ODI 1445 213 69 228 432 782 367 0
CDI 0 193 79 214 441 1769 1685 3
VCDI 0 4 14 116 547 4547 32607 42483

Date: 2024-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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