Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-12-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74728 7895 214 166 20 0 0 0
OW 1019 758 163 283 148 16 0 0
VODI 2996 175 139 337 494 119 4 0
ODI 385 14 29 152 325 427 40 0
CDI 0 3 2 72 367 1365 343 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 40 1296 7557 768
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74872 7073 145 212 37 0 0 0
OW 1057 896 80 177 175 10 0 0
VODI 2820 332 162 306 364 101 0 0
ODI 574 70 56 218 364 344 11 0
CDI 0 5 10 131 514 1263 100 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 89 2270 7023 999
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73763 7883 119 131 75 0 0 0
OW 967 1046 115 147 91 0 0 0
VODI 2705 233 183 342 313 20 0 0
ODI 699 6 46 253 504 272 8 0
CDI 0 5 8 95 526 1996 415 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 1785 7345 761
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72667 8513 121 140 150 0 0 0
OW 956 1055 142 129 178 1 0 0
VODI 2590 380 156 291 249 43 0 0
ODI 831 48 64 232 359 264 30 0
CDI 0 6 11 155 476 1288 337 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 140 2027 6851 1978
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72672 8677 131 143 180 0 0 0
OW 958 921 150 143 198 7 0 0
VODI 2633 358 144 309 259 69 0 0
ODI 781 46 66 218 359 480 46 0
CDI 0 0 3 137 429 1285 373 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 127 1782 6799 1978

Date: 2024-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73714 7233 123 159 131 18 0 0
OW 890 986 108 121 110 67 0 0
VODI 2378 393 158 299 157 144 17 0
ODI 1207 69 66 211 249 253 84 0
CDI 0 33 28 176 484 964 541 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 144 2079 6844 2221
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73796 7478 134 155 152 28 0 0
OW 963 777 118 169 124 84 1 0
VODI 2527 369 150 262 150 190 32 0
ODI 903 74 63 221 256 453 152 0
CDI 0 16 18 162 464 1056 598 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 129 1714 6703 2221

Date: 2024-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73764 7633 61 65 36 6 0 0
OW 909 1087 138 118 66 34 4 0
VODI 2347 173 157 345 248 90 9 0
ODI 1232 15 27 172 469 263 38 0
CDI 0 0 5 67 433 1355 257 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 63 1737 6168 3267
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73786 7298 102 135 90 62 1 0
OW 884 869 67 115 112 87 17 0
VODI 2351 553 67 113 249 109 56 0
ODI 1231 178 117 205 234 320 177 0
CDI 0 10 35 197 515 1129 424 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 115 1778 5801 3267

Date: 2024-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71974 8667 146 93 37 6 0 0
OW 867 1040 188 190 180 28 4 0
VODI 2319 203 133 356 285 178 21 0
ODI 1263 42 21 131 310 406 77 0
CDI 0 3 8 64 342 1044 308 0
VCDI 0 0 0 7 90 1845 8176 1810
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71982 8317 209 201 188 67 1 0
OW 859 881 87 125 157 152 29 0
VODI 2314 500 87 160 151 256 79 0
ODI 1268 193 76 139 211 331 183 0
CDI 0 64 37 211 473 923 473 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 64 1778 7821 1810

Date: 2024-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71855 8651 138 15 1 0 0 0
OW 863 1055 184 229 91 4 1 0
VODI 2281 258 118 266 284 170 23 0
ODI 1304 71 55 137 208 314 73 0
CDI 0 34 37 127 310 937 498 0
VCDI 0 0 2 49 142 1292 8289 2496
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71859 8278 234 168 87 42 14 0
OW 852 814 81 158 183 171 51 0
VODI 2248 517 86 157 160 236 70 0
ODI 1344 265 49 113 165 219 183 0
CDI 0 192 70 180 294 776 791 0
VCDI 0 3 14 47 147 1273 7775 2496


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