Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-12-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1601 26 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 238 69 102 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 44 43 135 92 4 0 0
ODI 0 9 10 63 181 90 5 0
CDI 0 2 4 25 149 589 263 3
VCDI 0 2 4 18 113 1640 11682 14863
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13 1754 20 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 323 30 70 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 131 42 87 52 2 0 0
ODI 0 46 25 56 117 27 1 0
CDI 0 25 25 84 221 213 33 19
VCDI 0 0 2 24 140 2649 11209 14637
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 98 1674 28 23 0 0 0 0
OW 2 216 73 91 22 0 0 0
VODI 1 102 64 161 107 19 0 0
ODI 0 8 18 84 166 125 0 0
CDI 0 2 4 55 227 696 161 2
VCDI 0 0 0 13 106 1618 10230 15886
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1482 45 28 9 0 0 0
OW 0 183 54 102 42 1 0 0
VODI 0 52 53 184 124 38 0 0
ODI 0 1 12 71 195 135 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 25 150 701 313 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 50 1070 10654 16307
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1571 66 59 16 0 0 0
OW 0 105 52 124 46 1 0 0
VODI 0 41 36 158 136 46 0 0
ODI 0 1 10 55 215 157 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 14 126 768 427 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 31 973 10540 16306

Date: 2024-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1237 22 13 6 1 0 0
OW 0 215 59 81 12 13 0 0
VODI 0 67 55 149 125 6 0 0
ODI 0 3 9 78 298 60 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 197 660 363 4
VCDI 0 0 0 1 18 816 8742 18757
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1354 44 55 10 5 0 0
OW 0 129 60 86 38 11 0 0
VODI 0 36 39 128 135 9 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 56 294 98 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 172 631 451 63
VCDI 0 0 0 1 7 802 8643 18698

Date: 2024-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77 1269 4 3 0 0 0 0
OW 4 382 43 28 0 0 0 0
VODI 1 73 72 178 28 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 13 130 182 33 0 0
CDI 0 3 4 12 203 435 65 6
VCDI 0 0 0 2 31 606 7514 20680
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79 1369 19 11 1 0 0 0
OW 2 215 44 44 7 0 0 0
VODI 1 133 51 175 57 7 0 0
ODI 0 9 17 107 164 44 1 0
CDI 0 2 5 14 158 351 86 25
VCDI 0 0 0 2 57 672 7492 20661

Date: 2024-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2 1307 3 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 312 69 59 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 72 45 122 95 30 0 0
ODI 0 7 9 42 89 89 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 13 56 315 91 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 489 6941 21810
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2 1412 47 26 1 0 0 0
OW 0 196 35 80 26 6 0 0
VODI 0 69 34 79 112 53 7 0
ODI 0 19 9 43 65 113 6 0
CDI 0 2 1 8 34 198 39 9
VCDI 0 0 0 0 9 553 6988 21801

Date: 2024-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 1001 30 26 3 0 0 0
OW 0 162 65 104 53 1 0 0
VODI 0 42 26 87 162 78 0 0
ODI 0 2 5 43 99 138 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 78 274 115 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 22 512 9662 19283
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 1021 54 85 57 0 0 0
OW 0 117 30 44 51 12 0 0
VODI 0 52 29 78 116 98 0 0
ODI 0 16 8 30 85 125 5 0
CDI 0 1 5 25 91 286 162 10
VCDI 0 0 0 0 17 482 9614 19275


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