Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-12-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81304 11131 260 200 21 0 0 0
OW 1168 1619 260 454 191 41 0 0
VODI 2997 458 245 588 722 239 8 0
ODI 385 46 52 272 710 748 83 0
CDI 0 16 13 125 722 2579 746 3
VCDI 0 7 9 56 275 4853 30378 36826
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80754 10928 191 247 41 0 0 0
OW 1057 1811 174 370 224 43 2 0
VODI 2820 593 276 545 543 242 39 0
ODI 574 126 97 383 603 588 92 0
CDI 0 35 37 233 820 1971 346 19
VCDI 0 0 5 44 422 6864 26029 40622
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78882 11592 195 202 92 0 0 0
OW 971 1713 298 647 338 5 0 0
VODI 2706 379 276 708 600 103 2 0
ODI 699 18 67 397 948 555 37 0
CDI 0 9 13 156 857 3339 741 2
VCDI 0 1 0 22 262 5255 27295 40428
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77011 11691 188 200 170 0 0 0
OW 963 2032 250 351 306 15 0 0
VODI 2590 777 295 647 670 489 0 0
ODI 831 54 84 379 785 617 50 0
CDI 0 6 12 195 805 2367 892 2
VCDI 0 0 0 23 360 4849 26351 43503
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77021 12087 233 262 214 0 0 0
OW 960 1734 253 380 368 65 0 0
VODI 2633 689 263 652 688 562 1 0
ODI 781 50 76 328 834 879 106 0
CDI 0 0 4 155 691 2425 1078 1
VCDI 0 0 0 18 301 4406 26108 43504

Date: 2024-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77356 10162 161 195 147 19 0 0
OW 978 1857 205 308 183 80 0 0
VODI 2378 779 264 576 563 241 17 0
ODI 1207 153 103 422 919 856 180 0
CDI 0 33 29 201 868 2104 1053 4
VCDI 0 0 0 9 236 4309 28122 43533
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77488 10743 204 257 196 33 0 0
OW 1001 1368 211 355 257 98 1 0
VODI 2527 680 233 528 559 312 32 0
ODI 903 177 96 399 962 1105 239 0
CDI 0 16 18 171 759 2167 1415 82
VCDI 0 0 0 1 183 3894 27685 43455

Date: 2024-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77018 10745 87 78 36 6 0 0
OW 986 2425 237 214 69 34 4 0
VODI 2349 396 309 759 443 92 9 0
ODI 1232 19 50 402 1202 429 38 0
CDI 0 3 11 89 811 2477 491 6
VCDI 0 1 4 31 297 4381 26295 46245
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77017 10474 173 193 104 62 1 0
OW 984 1585 135 244 164 87 17 0
VODI 2353 1108 147 409 503 187 56 0
ODI 1231 357 182 411 719 680 326 0
CDI 0 64 57 284 961 1923 1024 31
VCDI 0 1 4 32 407 4480 25413 46220

Date: 2024-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74686 12218 164 118 60 6 0 0
OW 939 2201 307 311 190 28 4 0
VODI 2320 591 249 638 522 224 21 0
ODI 1263 106 71 313 683 666 86 0
CDI 0 11 22 168 734 1933 458 0
VCDI 0 0 0 45 310 5214 29102 43828
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74500 11652 291 298 213 67 1 0
OW 1090 1580 164 281 226 161 29 0
VODI 2350 1119 164 345 396 364 86 0
ODI 1268 543 122 296 565 800 244 0
CDI 0 232 67 309 763 1653 843 13
VCDI 0 1 5 64 336 5026 28468 43815

Date: 2024-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74458 12142 178 49 4 0 0 0
OW 979 1847 290 386 164 6 1 0
VODI 2281 646 177 456 546 341 23 0
ODI 1304 143 111 303 478 573 77 0
CDI 0 37 54 221 845 1621 653 2
VCDI 0 0 2 95 656 5092 31612 41957
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73990 10870 295 260 144 42 14 0
OW 1305 1532 141 263 286 185 51 0
VODI 2383 1093 155 300 322 379 70 0
ODI 1344 687 72 247 484 599 205 0
CDI 0 603 123 316 735 1666 1165 72
VCDI 0 30 26 124 722 4762 30861 41887


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