Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-11-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77813 7734 130 113 37 13 0 0
OW 1024 545 139 268 76 8 0 0
VODI 3333 145 121 327 210 38 4 0
ODI 0 16 47 205 311 158 27 0
CDI 0 6 9 70 353 722 425 0
VCDI 0 0 2 11 25 1683 6491 223
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76989 7838 115 131 12 0 0 0
OW 1019 613 150 239 140 50 1 0
VODI 3343 174 105 286 296 143 7 0
ODI 0 42 46 138 333 297 26 0
CDI 0 2 17 103 378 640 186 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 58 1621 6521 794
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75477 8517 134 130 13 0 0 0
OW 1015 562 157 255 130 1 0 0
VODI 3357 130 106 386 480 61 0 0
ODI 0 9 25 132 488 299 2 0
CDI 0 0 5 58 281 1246 154 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 22 1462 5720 2048
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75658 7117 591 92 3 0 0 0
OW 1041 715 165 279 97 9 0 0
VODI 3226 196 106 338 495 55 0 0
ODI 146 37 48 145 433 355 47 0
CDI 0 3 10 113 428 1193 267 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 58 1170 6679 1545
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75661 7179 594 107 9 0 0 0
OW 1038 654 164 242 87 13 0 0
VODI 3203 190 113 362 473 53 0 0
ODI 169 40 35 148 417 298 42 0
CDI 0 5 14 109 472 1227 300 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 56 1191 6651 1545

Date: 2024-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74791 7180 543 170 14 0 0 0
OW 1061 842 115 209 136 4 0 0
VODI 2890 336 177 305 413 62 0 0
ODI 498 33 65 189 327 396 20 0
CDI 0 4 12 136 462 1254 143 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 76 1721 7831 445
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74787 7275 542 175 21 0 0 0
OW 1063 761 119 204 134 0 0 0
VODI 2892 320 177 286 373 56 0 0
ODI 498 34 63 216 354 361 20 0
CDI 0 5 11 127 459 1301 148 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 87 1719 7826 445

Date: 2024-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74305 7480 250 185 15 0 0 0
OW 1000 922 125 187 78 0 0 0
VODI 2769 164 196 453 324 39 0 0
ODI 629 10 19 174 613 285 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 51 423 2202 166 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 1642 6682 1470
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74252 7255 260 220 42 0 0 0
OW 1050 860 117 193 200 8 0 0
VODI 2753 389 125 288 290 92 0 0
ODI 648 59 73 233 369 321 1 0
CDI 0 13 15 114 488 1591 112 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 68 2156 6735 1470

Date: 2024-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73250 8121 90 135 107 0 0 0
OW 960 1092 129 130 130 0 0 0
VODI 2646 311 155 331 285 52 0 0
ODI 767 34 76 224 454 247 12 0
CDI 0 0 9 169 515 1604 316 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 56 1861 6757 1834
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73245 7611 93 153 137 0 0 0
OW 963 1162 99 116 193 4 0 0
VODI 2637 638 138 270 252 77 0 0
ODI 778 126 99 246 349 252 8 0
CDI 0 21 27 179 520 1367 287 0
VCDI 0 0 3 28 96 2064 6790 1834

Date: 2024-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73539 7429 133 186 161 42 0 0
OW 907 912 118 171 128 82 0 0
VODI 2417 361 144 317 151 136 12 0
ODI 1155 47 60 202 291 264 98 0
CDI 0 20 23 130 415 1007 477 0
VCDI 0 0 0 16 160 2154 7960 1037
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 73382 6809 116 164 129 38 0 0
OW 1012 975 105 171 160 106 2 0
VODI 2458 675 140 274 137 171 9 0
ODI 1165 223 64 206 308 290 53 0
CDI 1 87 50 174 364 922 531 0
VCDI 0 0 3 33 208 2158 7952 1037


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