Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-11-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15 1624 58 43 15 3 0 0
OW 0 141 79 163 79 41 0 0
VODI 0 37 43 95 103 46 0 0
ODI 0 23 10 37 119 100 7 0
CDI 0 7 3 9 136 566 140 15
VCDI 0 0 0 0 43 993 11788 15501
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54 1719 24 6 0 0 0 0
OW 10 252 56 104 78 8 0 0
VODI 1 142 31 56 93 32 0 0
ODI 0 63 19 45 45 60 1 0
CDI 0 12 17 42 126 448 41 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 46 1300 10921 16221
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4 1815 24 15 0 0 0 0
OW 0 325 65 72 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 77 54 129 83 12 0 0
ODI 0 16 15 73 173 115 1 0
CDI 0 5 7 28 160 818 132 2
VCDI 0 11 2 14 126 1930 11490 14278
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 1580 39 19 0 0 0 0
OW 0 220 87 112 34 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 25 124 131 22 0 0
ODI 0 5 4 39 183 191 1 1
CDI 0 2 0 16 146 777 277 19
VCDI 0 11 0 3 86 1756 11577 14565
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 1592 45 17 2 0 0 0
OW 0 211 79 121 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 25 26 117 147 19 0 0
ODI 0 6 5 39 172 184 1 1
CDI 0 2 0 16 148 818 343 23
VCDI 0 11 0 3 89 1725 11511 14561

Date: 2024-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16 1703 3 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 332 37 38 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 108 55 89 45 1 0 0
ODI 0 35 21 65 133 23 21 0
CDI 0 16 15 54 212 275 60 0
VCDI 0 8 8 17 100 2474 11664 14448
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16 1714 2 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 328 36 35 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 104 60 93 55 0 0 0
ODI 0 34 18 71 118 22 21 0
CDI 0 14 15 46 219 261 66 0
VCDI 0 8 8 18 99 2490 11658 14448

Date: 2024-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2 1821 26 11 0 0 0 0
OW 0 273 51 64 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 124 66 174 78 1 0 0
ODI 0 16 17 91 185 70 0 0
CDI 0 6 5 45 279 680 70 2
VCDI 0 0 0 7 76 1863 10077 15885
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2 1767 25 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 260 58 85 46 0 0 0
VODI 0 124 44 106 66 6 0 0
ODI 0 53 15 78 73 68 0 0
CDI 0 35 20 86 223 279 20 3
VCDI 0 1 3 21 227 2261 10127 15884

Date: 2024-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1641 39 28 11 0 0 0
OW 0 198 71 102 41 1 0 0
VODI 0 88 52 152 126 13 0 0
ODI 0 7 11 91 173 113 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 38 186 790 302 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 59 1328 9765 16653
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1556 40 31 14 0 0 0
OW 0 240 58 116 64 8 0 0
VODI 0 92 48 119 127 55 0 0
ODI 0 45 17 49 110 99 5 0
CDI 0 1 12 95 198 530 185 2
VCDI 0 0 0 1 83 1553 9877 16652

Date: 2024-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1318 32 28 7 2 0 0
OW 0 192 62 84 31 7 0 0
VODI 0 58 40 167 137 35 0 0
ODI 0 4 7 70 209 159 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 163 654 356 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 51 1031 11115 16041
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1289 38 44 11 8 0 0
OW 0 221 50 106 55 4 0 0
VODI 0 50 36 119 191 140 1 0
ODI 0 11 16 49 105 148 9 0
CDI 0 1 1 44 132 452 285 2
VCDI 0 0 0 3 104 1136 11182 16039


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