Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-11-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8557 880 43 74 37 0 0 0
OW 69 404 92 133 155 13 0 0
VODI 12 188 70 189 217 92 18 0
ODI 0 86 38 77 271 358 1 0
CDI 0 23 14 83 402 753 56 0
VCDI 0 12 0 49 515 4342 16559 10984
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8376 821 34 42 38 0 0 0
OW 65 429 79 138 191 30 0 0
VODI 11 182 62 170 169 99 33 0
ODI 0 65 41 98 222 296 11 0
CDI 0 21 7 47 187 842 84 0
VCDI 0 3 5 9 138 2500 10314 20007
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6516 2426 58 62 7 0 0 0
OW 4 190 61 118 62 22 0 0
VODI 0 76 51 244 321 74 16 0
ODI 0 17 6 40 386 116 31 0
CDI 0 11 7 22 219 622 125 0
VCDI 0 3 4 18 99 1785 10762 21285
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6186 2103 29 50 2 0 0 0
OW 146 595 33 66 60 16 0 0
VODI 1 246 87 154 159 56 7 0
ODI 0 18 16 111 300 158 25 0
CDI 0 15 5 60 207 639 155 0
VCDI 0 6 8 39 162 1913 10444 21589
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6170 2142 34 62 5 0 0 0
OW 162 577 26 60 61 15 0 0
VODI 1 215 85 144 125 67 11 0
ODI 0 25 16 109 298 171 27 0
CDI 0 17 7 59 225 570 141 0
VCDI 0 7 10 46 176 1959 10452 21589

Date: 2024-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6460 1695 17 20 7 0 0 0
OW 67 587 54 63 55 37 3 0
VODI 0 193 71 104 105 114 55 0
ODI 0 16 20 85 95 229 86 0
CDI 0 3 0 32 159 620 197 0
VCDI 0 2 3 10 157 1718 10284 22443
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6450 1776 30 37 24 7 0 0
OW 77 538 46 50 47 29 2 0
VODI 0 158 60 102 105 75 53 0
ODI 0 21 24 71 86 267 91 0
CDI 0 1 2 44 156 593 186 0
VCDI 0 2 3 10 160 1747 10293 22443

Date: 2024-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5345 2351 39 62 0 0 0 0
OW 0 490 89 151 42 3 0 0
VODI 0 76 64 175 135 48 5 0
ODI 0 5 3 50 318 164 49 0
CDI 0 2 2 2 61 762 219 1
VCDI 0 0 1 7 144 1658 7375 25968
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5345 2235 69 114 37 18 0 0
OW 0 579 72 145 81 37 1 0
VODI 0 96 44 117 167 73 65 0
ODI 0 10 9 57 140 276 95 0
CDI 0 4 2 5 119 504 237 0
VCDI 0 0 2 9 156 1727 7250 25969

Date: 2024-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4540 1946 35 14 0 0 0 0
OW 5 874 83 205 143 24 0 0
VODI 0 145 67 221 342 107 0 0
ODI 0 7 2 110 204 127 32 0
CDI 0 1 2 10 174 451 241 0
VCDI 0 1 0 22 247 1833 10466 23185
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4541 2268 35 13 6 9 0 0
OW 4 562 92 226 143 64 16 0
VODI 0 129 50 209 329 115 86 0
ODI 0 10 11 76 224 253 82 0
CDI 0 3 0 35 161 416 192 0
VCDI 0 2 1 23 247 1685 10363 23185

Date: 2024-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3854 1848 25 27 17 2 0 0
OW 66 606 39 117 91 0 0 0
VODI 0 416 90 215 289 230 0 0
ODI 0 20 12 58 203 511 1 0
CDI 0 0 2 26 145 508 197 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 111 1553 11512 23072
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3878 2307 37 76 66 2 0 0
OW 42 401 53 143 149 81 11 0
VODI 0 164 59 141 266 383 67 0
ODI 0 17 16 66 108 332 76 0
CDI 0 1 3 18 190 517 250 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 77 1489 11306 23072


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