Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-11-28

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86385 10238 231 230 89 16 0 0
OW 1093 1090 310 564 310 62 0 0
VODI 3345 370 234 611 530 176 22 0
ODI 0 125 95 319 701 616 35 0
CDI 0 36 26 162 891 2041 621 15
VCDI 0 12 2 60 583 7018 34838 26708
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85419 10378 173 179 50 0 0 0
OW 1094 1294 285 481 409 88 1 0
VODI 3355 498 198 512 558 274 40 0
ODI 0 170 106 281 600 653 38 0
CDI 0 35 41 192 691 1930 311 0
VCDI 0 3 5 27 242 5421 27756 37022
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81997 12758 216 207 20 0 0 0
OW 1019 1077 283 445 203 23 0 0
VODI 3357 283 211 759 884 147 16 0
ODI 0 42 46 245 1047 530 34 0
CDI 0 16 19 108 660 2686 411 2
VCDI 0 14 6 32 247 5177 27972 37611
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81845 10800 659 161 5 0 0 0
OW 1187 1530 285 457 191 25 0 0
VODI 3227 471 218 616 785 133 7 0
ODI 146 60 68 295 916 704 73 1
CDI 0 20 15 189 781 2609 699 19
VCDI 0 17 8 44 306 4839 28700 37699
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81832 10913 673 186 16 0 0 0
OW 1200 1442 269 423 170 28 0 0
VODI 3204 430 224 623 745 139 11 0
ODI 169 71 56 296 887 653 70 1
CDI 0 24 21 184 845 2615 784 23
VCDI 0 18 10 50 321 4875 28614 37695

Date: 2024-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81267 10578 563 190 21 0 0 0
OW 1128 1761 206 310 197 41 3 0
VODI 2890 637 303 498 563 177 55 0
ODI 498 84 106 339 555 648 127 0
CDI 0 23 27 222 833 2149 400 0
VCDI 0 10 11 29 333 5913 29779 37336
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81253 10765 574 212 45 7 0 0
OW 1140 1627 201 289 186 29 2 0
VODI 2892 582 297 481 533 131 53 0
ODI 498 89 105 358 558 650 132 0
CDI 0 20 28 217 834 2155 400 0
VCDI 0 10 11 31 346 5956 29777 37336

Date: 2024-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79652 11652 315 258 15 0 0 0
OW 1000 1685 265 402 137 3 0 0
VODI 2769 364 326 802 537 88 5 0
ODI 629 31 39 315 1116 519 49 0
CDI 0 8 7 98 763 3644 455 3
VCDI 0 0 1 14 224 5163 24134 43323
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79599 11257 354 350 79 18 0 0
OW 1050 1699 247 423 327 45 1 0
VODI 2753 609 213 511 523 171 65 0
ODI 648 122 97 368 582 665 96 0
CDI 0 52 37 205 830 2374 369 3
VCDI 0 1 5 32 451 6144 24112 43323

Date: 2024-12-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77790 11708 164 177 118 0 0 0
OW 965 2164 283 437 314 25 0 0
VODI 2646 544 274 704 753 172 0 0
ODI 767 48 89 425 831 487 44 0
CDI 0 1 13 217 875 2845 859 1
VCDI 0 1 0 25 362 5022 26988 41672
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77786 11435 168 197 157 9 0 0
OW 967 1964 249 458 400 76 16 0
VODI 2637 859 236 598 708 247 86 0
ODI 778 181 127 371 683 604 95 0
CDI 0 25 39 309 879 2313 664 2
VCDI 0 2 4 52 426 5302 27030 41671

Date: 2024-12-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77393 10595 190 241 185 46 0 0
OW 973 1710 219 372 250 89 0 0
VODI 2417 835 274 699 577 401 12 0
ODI 1155 71 79 330 703 934 105 0
CDI 0 20 25 172 723 2169 1030 0
VCDI 0 0 0 19 322 4738 30587 40150
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77260 10405 191 284 206 48 0 0
OW 1054 1597 208 420 364 191 13 0
VODI 2458 889 235 534 594 694 77 0
ODI 1165 251 96 321 521 770 138 0
CDI 1 89 54 236 686 1891 1066 2
VCDI 0 0 3 38 389 4783 30440 40148


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