Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-11-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81565 5874 108 100 1 0 0 0
OW 1166 499 91 117 54 1 0 0
VODI 3064 125 86 181 199 23 0 0
ODI 0 12 29 112 169 89 0 0
CDI 0 2 4 55 258 649 14 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 12 2535 5413 255
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80549 6388 164 181 24 0 0 0
OW 1141 487 105 162 90 0 0 0
VODI 3097 149 77 209 189 48 0 0
ODI 0 44 39 93 165 111 8 0
CDI 0 1 21 83 225 747 110 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 1991 6131 28
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80278 6645 117 101 3 0 0 0
OW 1069 476 131 243 39 0 0 0
VODI 3264 120 72 268 290 2 0 0
ODI 0 22 34 116 312 63 0 0
CDI 0 6 10 51 298 570 18 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 14 3119 4993 118
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79781 7121 122 32 9 0 0 0
OW 1061 584 135 189 65 7 0 0
VODI 3278 177 107 273 195 18 0 0
ODI 0 73 26 139 167 75 0 0
CDI 0 58 33 97 287 469 16 0
VCDI 0 6 17 76 169 3061 4844 95
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79781 7132 120 33 13 0 0 0
OW 1061 585 148 202 59 2 0 0
VODI 3278 179 99 248 187 28 0 0
ODI 0 61 24 157 184 70 0 0
CDI 0 57 30 91 287 515 8 0
VCDI 0 5 19 75 162 3015 4852 95

Date: 2024-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80249 6500 242 79 11 1 0 0
OW 1048 638 261 130 56 15 0 0
VODI 3295 150 122 275 156 54 0 0
ODI 0 61 47 123 116 80 0 0
CDI 0 35 31 134 353 250 12 0
VCDI 0 12 10 31 229 2566 5058 432
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80250 6478 254 98 14 1 0 0
OW 1048 669 256 125 50 13 0 0
VODI 3294 152 117 235 153 53 0 0
ODI 0 53 51 164 110 79 0 0
CDI 0 32 25 124 358 265 12 0
VCDI 0 12 10 26 236 2555 5058 432

Date: 2024-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79706 7067 150 122 40 0 0 0
OW 1043 595 129 147 30 3 1 0
VODI 3307 92 144 300 174 31 4 0
ODI 0 7 21 155 297 125 14 0
CDI 0 2 3 43 255 572 124 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 21 1940 5464 734
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79707 6688 173 170 46 0 0 0
OW 1041 792 105 171 83 15 4 0
VODI 3308 220 68 191 131 81 21 0
ODI 0 57 85 79 174 90 14 0
CDI 0 6 16 156 298 332 30 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 85 2153 5538 734

Date: 2024-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78689 7581 114 132 68 6 0 0
OW 1034 557 140 203 63 4 0 0
VODI 3317 138 108 293 187 25 5 0
ODI 0 18 33 144 276 153 13 0
CDI 0 4 10 77 280 540 195 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 38 2150 6012 249
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78689 7231 129 200 85 4 0 0
OW 1034 758 116 200 89 12 1 0
VODI 3317 222 67 209 193 82 12 0
ODI 0 73 63 95 210 135 6 0
CDI 0 13 25 130 266 393 93 0
VCDI 0 1 5 21 69 2252 6113 249

Date: 2024-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77813 7734 130 113 37 13 0 0
OW 1024 545 139 268 76 8 0 0
VODI 3333 145 121 327 210 38 4 0
ODI 0 16 47 205 311 158 27 0
CDI 0 6 9 70 353 722 425 0
VCDI 0 0 2 11 25 1683 6491 223
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 77807 7368 163 219 111 17 0 0
OW 1027 810 94 233 102 20 3 0
VODI 3336 212 120 280 186 100 28 0
ODI 0 50 56 159 283 164 12 0
CDI 0 6 12 92 281 526 178 0
VCDI 0 0 3 11 49 1795 6726 223


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