Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-11-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81565 5874 108 100 1 0 0 0
OW 1166 499 91 117 54 1 0 0
VODI 3064 125 86 181 199 23 0 0
ODI 0 12 29 112 169 89 0 0
CDI 0 2 4 55 258 649 14 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 12 2535 5413 255
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80549 6388 164 181 24 0 0 0
OW 1141 487 105 162 90 0 0 0
VODI 3097 149 77 209 189 48 0 0
ODI 0 44 39 93 165 111 8 0
CDI 0 1 21 83 225 747 110 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 1991 6131 28
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80278 6645 117 101 3 0 0 0
OW 1069 476 131 243 39 0 0 0
VODI 3264 120 72 268 290 2 0 0
ODI 0 22 34 116 312 63 0 0
CDI 0 6 10 51 298 570 18 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 14 3119 4993 118
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79781 7121 122 32 9 0 0 0
OW 1061 584 135 189 65 7 0 0
VODI 3278 177 107 273 195 18 0 0
ODI 0 73 26 139 167 75 0 0
CDI 0 58 33 97 287 469 16 0
VCDI 0 6 17 76 169 3061 4844 95
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79781 7132 120 33 13 0 0 0
OW 1061 585 148 202 59 2 0 0
VODI 3278 179 99 248 187 28 0 0
ODI 0 61 24 157 184 70 0 0
CDI 0 57 30 91 287 515 8 0
VCDI 0 5 19 75 162 3015 4852 95

Date: 2024-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80249 6500 242 79 11 1 0 0
OW 1048 638 261 130 56 15 0 0
VODI 3295 150 122 275 156 54 0 0
ODI 0 61 47 123 116 80 0 0
CDI 0 35 31 134 353 250 12 0
VCDI 0 12 10 31 229 2566 5058 432
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80250 6478 254 98 14 1 0 0
OW 1048 669 256 125 50 13 0 0
VODI 3294 152 117 235 153 53 0 0
ODI 0 53 51 164 110 79 0 0
CDI 0 32 25 124 358 265 12 0
VCDI 0 12 10 26 236 2555 5058 432

Date: 2024-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79706 6755 187 193 60 2 0 0
OW 1043 752 101 164 79 20 7 0
VODI 3307 197 64 180 149 75 17 0
ODI 0 50 77 73 152 91 15 0
CDI 0 9 18 154 292 332 42 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 85 2151 5526 734
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79707 6688 173 170 46 0 0 0
OW 1041 792 105 171 83 15 4 0
VODI 3308 220 68 191 131 81 21 0
ODI 0 57 85 79 174 90 14 0
CDI 0 6 16 156 298 332 30 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 85 2153 5538 734

Date: 2024-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78688 7568 120 133 62 6 0 0
OW 1035 559 139 199 61 4 1 0
VODI 3317 149 100 294 197 21 5 0
ODI 0 19 38 141 290 154 12 0
CDI 0 3 8 85 269 555 211 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 33 2138 5996 249
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78689 7231 129 200 85 4 0 0
OW 1034 758 116 200 89 12 1 0
VODI 3317 222 67 209 193 82 12 0
ODI 0 73 63 95 210 135 6 0
CDI 0 13 25 130 266 393 93 0
VCDI 0 1 5 21 69 2252 6113 249

Date: 2024-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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