Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-11-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2667 2167 54 68 55 0 0 0
OW 1 173 67 111 90 4 0 0
VODI 0 58 51 181 176 74 0 0
ODI 0 3 8 83 191 203 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 30 205 823 87 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 164 3777 10016 10484
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1698 2477 83 66 4 0 0 0
OW 0 226 61 165 122 24 0 0
VODI 0 79 20 117 186 104 0 0
ODI 0 9 11 54 213 230 44 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 117 514 248 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 1593 10297 13302
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1313 2357 55 26 0 0 0 0
OW 0 249 87 142 6 0 0 0
VODI 0 62 45 230 98 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 10 87 275 59 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 265 607 121 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 14 929 10834 14196
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1243 2206 16 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 346 85 85 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 90 73 169 77 0 0 0
ODI 0 28 24 118 173 32 0 0
CDI 0 1 8 62 239 318 116 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 70 916 10769 14808
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1243 2263 31 22 0 0 0 0
OW 0 292 75 93 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 88 70 154 89 5 0 0
ODI 0 26 22 115 161 29 0 0
CDI 0 2 7 53 233 282 137 0
VCDI 0 0 1 7 76 950 10748 14808

Date: 2024-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 842 2054 75 30 0 0 0 0
OW 0 196 91 125 45 0 0 0
VODI 0 87 80 218 126 0 0 0
ODI 0 9 9 107 225 9 2 0
CDI 0 13 13 29 299 304 17 0
VCDI 0 6 6 34 128 1240 8897 16766
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 842 2081 92 50 4 0 0 0
OW 0 175 81 128 36 0 0 0
VODI 0 83 74 204 143 0 0 0
ODI 0 9 8 102 212 11 2 0
CDI 0 11 13 31 296 289 28 0
VCDI 0 6 6 28 132 1253 8886 16766

Date: 2024-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 159 2080 75 104 69 0 0 0
OW 0 112 53 79 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 35 65 178 120 4 0 0
ODI 0 1 11 99 347 61 0 0
CDI 0 0 5 21 264 652 66 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 135 1582 10103 15565
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 159 2101 85 123 83 0 0 0
OW 0 101 76 133 54 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 27 138 205 18 0 0
ODI 0 1 7 53 276 90 4 0
CDI 0 1 5 14 174 400 72 0
VCDI 0 0 9 33 167 1791 10093 15565

Date: 2024-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 41 1781 90 88 28 5 0 0
OW 0 80 40 97 97 90 0 0
VODI 0 21 23 98 114 37 0 0
ODI 0 3 11 92 186 102 0 0
CDI 0 1 4 43 127 577 172 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 156 1561 11833 14471
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 41 1806 94 110 97 55 0 0
OW 0 67 49 104 48 60 0 0
VODI 0 10 14 109 156 85 0 0
ODI 0 1 5 47 123 180 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 34 114 480 180 0
VCDI 0 2 6 27 170 1512 11820 14471

Date: 2024-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15 1624 58 43 15 3 0 0
OW 0 141 79 163 79 41 0 0
VODI 0 37 43 95 103 46 0 0
ODI 0 23 10 37 119 100 7 0
CDI 0 7 3 9 136 566 140 15
VCDI 0 0 0 0 43 993 11788 15501
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15 1601 73 77 28 0 0 0
OW 0 152 81 135 91 59 0 0
VODI 0 47 24 102 132 57 0 0
ODI 0 32 15 19 99 139 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 82 336 86 3
VCDI 0 0 0 0 63 1158 11849 15513


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