Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-11-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8972 3483 221 309 29 0 0 0
OW 5 536 143 337 368 73 0 0
VODI 0 155 53 237 652 413 9 0
ODI 0 92 7 50 514 514 27 0
CDI 0 38 7 21 169 928 194 0
VCDI 0 20 15 30 57 1389 12202 13597
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8842 2540 165 426 200 0 0 0
OW 23 360 93 318 308 70 0 0
VODI 0 145 58 217 421 425 6 0
ODI 0 50 29 119 455 656 31 0
CDI 0 41 4 41 399 884 158 0
VCDI 0 24 16 42 172 1548 12338 14242
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8992 2004 128 241 304 1 0 0
OW 101 362 90 157 156 30 0 0
VODI 23 71 58 169 274 93 3 0
ODI 0 17 10 54 365 320 8 0
CDI 0 12 15 40 444 1473 192 1
VCDI 0 4 8 34 211 1699 11921 15781
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8328 1997 168 239 226 32 0 0
OW 67 372 163 310 188 17 0 0
VODI 6 75 69 240 285 56 9 0
ODI 0 36 12 57 362 181 23 0
CDI 0 3 7 25 161 808 149 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 269 2316 12352 16243
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8331 2050 194 323 290 40 0 0
OW 60 293 126 210 162 15 0 0
VODI 10 98 72 236 269 47 13 0
ODI 0 35 19 76 337 186 22 0
CDI 0 7 7 22 178 793 139 1
VCDI 0 0 1 19 255 2329 12359 16242

Date: 2024-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8399 1416 115 263 38 0 0 0
OW 54 371 155 317 208 26 0 0
VODI 2 159 80 305 340 122 4 0
ODI 0 36 25 100 287 299 11 0
CDI 0 13 7 55 192 674 92 0
VCDI 0 1 0 13 197 2534 12196 16760
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8382 1475 150 334 107 5 0 0
OW 70 298 112 278 199 30 0 0
VODI 3 154 81 239 285 155 5 0
ODI 0 43 25 125 257 265 14 0
CDI 0 21 11 55 207 643 95 0
VCDI 0 5 3 22 207 2557 12189 16760

Date: 2024-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8442 1086 89 182 313 10 0 0
OW 24 237 44 198 247 43 2 0
VODI 1 190 49 199 275 171 11 0
ODI 0 76 28 89 239 344 21 0
CDI 0 71 35 84 218 601 88 0
VCDI 0 40 30 207 567 2715 14001 14599
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8438 1023 73 160 286 2 0 0
OW 26 283 53 207 255 53 0 0
VODI 3 189 54 210 273 181 9 0
ODI 0 96 30 92 307 362 23 0
CDI 0 74 37 84 176 615 77 19
VCDI 0 35 28 206 562 2671 14014 14580

Date: 2024-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8509 1154 48 35 21 0 0 0
OW 91 499 79 98 63 1 0 0
VODI 7 351 58 245 198 27 0 0
ODI 0 161 45 185 396 175 0 0
CDI 0 84 53 255 404 666 10 0
VCDI 0 20 14 185 662 2931 13194 14942
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8498 1100 77 86 3 0 0 0
OW 97 528 47 100 133 0 0 0
VODI 12 345 52 182 229 61 0 0
ODI 0 148 35 152 325 201 0 0
CDI 0 96 59 241 407 542 10 0
VCDI 0 52 27 242 647 2996 13194 14942

Date: 2024-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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