Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-11-14

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93204 11524 383 477 85 0 0 0
OW 1172 1208 301 565 512 78 0 0
VODI 3064 338 190 599 1027 510 9 0
ODI 0 107 44 245 874 806 38 0
CDI 0 40 11 106 632 2400 295 0
VCDI 0 20 15 30 233 7701 27631 24336
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91089 11405 412 673 228 0 0 0
OW 1164 1073 259 645 520 94 0 0
VODI 3097 373 155 543 796 577 6 0
ODI 0 103 79 266 833 997 83 0
CDI 0 42 25 141 741 2145 516 0
VCDI 0 24 16 42 178 5132 28766 27572
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 90583 11006 300 368 307 1 0 0
OW 1170 1087 308 542 201 30 0 0
VODI 3287 253 175 667 662 97 3 0
ODI 0 39 54 257 952 442 15 0
CDI 0 18 25 97 1007 2650 331 1
VCDI 0 4 8 34 239 5747 27748 30095
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89352 11324 306 275 235 32 0 0
OW 1128 1302 383 584 253 24 0 0
VODI 3284 342 249 682 557 74 9 0
ODI 0 137 62 314 702 288 23 0
CDI 0 62 48 184 687 1595 281 0
VCDI 0 6 17 97 508 6293 27965 31146
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89355 11445 345 378 303 40 0 0
OW 1121 1170 349 505 221 17 0 0
VODI 3288 365 241 638 545 80 13 0
ODI 0 122 65 348 682 285 22 0
CDI 0 66 44 166 698 1590 284 1
VCDI 0 5 21 101 493 6294 27959 31145

Date: 2024-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89490 9970 432 372 49 1 0 0
OW 1102 1205 507 572 309 41 0 0
VODI 3297 396 282 798 622 176 4 0
ODI 0 106 81 330 628 388 13 0
CDI 0 61 51 218 844 1228 121 0
VCDI 0 19 16 78 554 6340 26151 33958
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89474 10034 496 482 125 6 0 0
OW 1118 1142 449 531 285 43 0 0
VODI 3297 389 272 678 581 208 5 0
ODI 0 105 84 391 579 355 16 0
CDI 0 64 49 210 861 1197 135 0
VCDI 0 23 19 76 575 6365 26133 33958

Date: 2024-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88320 10219 277 306 208 0 0 0
OW 1055 1109 254 386 236 8 1 0
VODI 3307 295 320 872 649 74 12 0
ODI 0 20 44 362 1173 459 29 0
CDI 0 30 15 124 724 2369 300 0
VCDI 0 18 21 170 645 5944 29557 30898
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88304 9812 331 453 415 2 0 0
OW 1067 1176 234 511 392 68 4 0
VODI 3311 433 149 539 609 280 30 0
ODI 0 154 122 224 757 542 41 0
CDI 0 81 58 254 648 1347 179 19
VCDI 0 35 37 239 814 6615 29645 30879

Date: 2024-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87248 10503 245 249 110 11 0 0
OW 1116 1178 271 412 227 96 0 0
VODI 3324 484 189 639 495 90 5 0
ODI 0 197 91 391 842 458 13 0
CDI 0 77 61 406 865 1749 374 0
VCDI 0 14 13 192 825 6646 31042 29662
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87228 10137 300 396 185 59 0 0
OW 1131 1353 212 404 270 72 1 0
VODI 3329 577 133 500 578 228 12 0
ODI 0 222 103 294 658 516 11 0
CDI 0 109 84 405 787 1415 283 0
VCDI 0 55 38 290 886 6760 31127 29662

Date: 2024-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86385 10238 231 230 89 16 0 0
OW 1093 1090 310 564 310 62 0 0
VODI 3345 370 234 611 530 176 22 0
ODI 0 125 95 319 701 616 35 0
CDI 0 36 26 162 891 2041 621 15
VCDI 0 12 2 60 583 7018 34838 26708
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86309 9656 293 418 284 17 0 0
OW 1132 1326 237 478 340 117 4 0
VODI 3380 580 206 511 571 309 44 0
ODI 2 209 104 251 606 632 20 0
CDI 0 57 52 193 606 1466 344 3
VCDI 0 43 6 95 697 7388 35104 26720


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