Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-11-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83060 4910 91 120 19 0 0 0
OW 1313 350 85 114 76 1 0 0
VODI 2826 110 79 162 163 36 0 0
ODI 0 12 27 118 127 216 8 0
CDI 0 0 4 54 245 972 103 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 38 3471 3800 152
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83085 4650 51 121 10 0 0 0
OW 1233 502 81 73 77 4 0 0
VODI 2981 135 93 154 131 44 0 0
ODI 0 23 28 150 103 186 8 0
CDI 0 0 5 81 217 1039 154 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 3462 3724 251
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 82092 5591 68 85 19 0 0 0
OW 1202 450 110 175 16 0 0 0
VODI 3016 75 89 303 243 5 0 0
ODI 0 4 9 79 313 180 4 0
CDI 0 0 1 22 210 1130 225 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 2991 4149 3
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81653 5845 104 63 10 0 0 0
OW 1180 479 82 125 74 1 0 0
VODI 3047 99 82 176 258 10 0 0
ODI 0 6 20 94 213 105 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 32 278 613 42 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 52 2807 5294 17
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81655 5814 111 96 21 0 0 0
OW 1180 528 80 107 105 2 0 0
VODI 3045 83 84 180 250 18 0 0
ODI 0 4 13 77 193 122 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 30 269 602 40 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 47 2792 5296 17

Date: 2024-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81051 6152 127 154 25 0 0 0
OW 1151 486 96 137 57 2 0 0
VODI 3083 128 81 204 191 46 0 0
ODI 0 27 33 109 156 114 3 0
CDI 0 7 7 67 203 667 79 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 2023 5854 339
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81051 6119 135 183 23 0 0 0
OW 1151 526 91 136 84 5 0 0
VODI 3083 124 80 195 191 52 0 0
ODI 0 26 29 89 139 123 10 0
CDI 0 5 9 68 198 696 69 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1976 5857 339

Date: 2024-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80322 6625 127 124 8 0 0 0
OW 1078 449 129 217 67 0 0 0
VODI 3250 89 88 265 308 27 0 0
ODI 0 3 21 82 267 146 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 30 197 694 96 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 9 2256 5600 288
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80410 6466 151 218 26 0 0 0
OW 1125 522 88 147 125 3 0 0
VODI 3115 129 77 190 242 33 0 0
ODI 0 38 33 75 128 115 0 0
CDI 0 11 16 88 304 538 83 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 31 2434 5613 288

Date: 2024-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79229 7495 328 46 4 0 0 0
OW 1061 460 191 226 52 5 0 0
VODI 3275 131 93 254 248 28 1 0
ODI 0 39 34 110 210 92 3 0
CDI 0 11 15 92 261 543 19 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 86 3671 4541 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79229 7183 274 51 2 0 0 0
OW 1066 565 201 187 97 8 0 0
VODI 3270 237 88 164 212 34 0 0
ODI 0 103 64 185 156 120 5 0
CDI 0 48 34 145 325 793 133 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 69 3384 4426 0

Date: 2024-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80329 6617 92 33 5 1 0 0
OW 1055 687 130 175 66 8 0 0
VODI 3285 212 126 233 185 13 0 0
ODI 0 59 30 112 206 45 0 0
CDI 0 60 22 103 342 278 8 0
VCDI 0 42 13 69 252 2678 5021 270
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80330 5967 65 37 11 0 0 0
OW 1055 780 146 182 102 16 0 0
VODI 3284 435 83 165 220 40 0 0
ODI 0 201 46 91 158 72 0 0
CDI 0 268 63 169 267 262 6 0
VCDI 0 26 10 81 298 2633 5023 270


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