Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-11-07

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3992 2185 10 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 418 83 132 35 2 0 0
VODI 0 130 81 178 68 16 0 0
ODI 0 26 16 166 270 84 21 0
CDI 0 3 6 170 487 724 244 0
VCDI 0 0 0 17 308 5172 13503 3528
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3960 2096 9 1 0 0 0 0
OW 1 388 45 100 39 0 0 0
VODI 0 172 91 229 102 14 0 0
ODI 0 18 30 136 275 93 5 0
CDI 0 0 6 157 526 570 128 0
VCDI 0 0 0 36 368 4253 13336 4898
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2952 2367 73 110 7 0 0 0
OW 1 184 65 100 39 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 64 242 275 9 0 0
ODI 0 5 29 91 428 149 0 0
CDI 0 4 15 92 391 697 41 0
VCDI 0 8 7 100 522 5650 9703 7633
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2746 2262 43 84 36 0 0 0
OW 1 188 70 116 92 2 0 0
VODI 0 65 56 165 165 65 0 0
ODI 0 2 11 122 240 161 3 0
CDI 0 0 8 22 309 920 43 0
VCDI 0 14 13 47 638 4903 9812 8658
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2746 2291 42 87 46 0 0 0
OW 1 177 74 107 97 2 0 0
VODI 0 46 52 174 157 71 0 0
ODI 0 3 11 113 251 164 3 0
CDI 0 0 10 27 303 884 44 0
VCDI 0 14 12 48 626 4930 9811 8658

Date: 2024-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2031 2549 60 61 52 0 0 0
OW 0 157 56 134 98 17 0 0
VODI 0 60 41 146 222 60 5 0
ODI 0 2 8 65 186 192 40 0
CDI 0 0 0 18 135 617 187 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 2610 9804 12459
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2031 2574 60 68 66 0 0 0
OW 0 144 65 129 99 33 0 0
VODI 0 47 32 143 241 71 6 0
ODI 0 3 8 63 146 201 40 0
CDI 0 0 0 21 131 573 244 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 20 2618 9746 12459

Date: 2024-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1495 2445 52 34 0 0 0 0
OW 0 208 78 133 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 72 50 178 132 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 70 352 59 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 168 717 74 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 1093 10902 13730
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1495 2407 64 64 11 0 0 0
OW 0 226 74 173 61 16 0 0
VODI 0 76 32 121 289 113 0 0
ODI 0 16 14 25 177 239 33 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 119 481 192 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 14 1026 10762 13729

Date: 2024-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1275 2213 46 22 6 0 0 0
OW 0 349 89 67 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 92 66 204 70 7 0 0
ODI 0 12 17 144 163 50 4 0
CDI 0 0 2 26 287 461 224 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 30 879 10031 15240
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1275 2033 62 44 8 0 0 0
OW 0 518 95 94 37 5 0 0
VODI 0 100 55 241 150 87 0 0
ODI 0 12 3 67 189 257 34 0
CDI 0 3 4 14 148 278 301 0
VCDI 0 0 1 5 28 770 9924 15240

Date: 2024-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1054 2155 43 24 0 0 0 0
OW 0 271 85 90 47 0 0 0
VODI 0 99 79 183 77 0 0 0
ODI 0 19 11 114 208 11 2 0
CDI 0 16 13 61 246 308 20 0
VCDI 0 2 5 20 108 1108 9172 16431
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1054 2222 69 40 8 0 0 0
OW 0 275 106 182 80 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 40 193 255 59 0 0
ODI 0 9 10 43 184 227 21 1
CDI 0 14 7 18 99 348 169 6
VCDI 0 3 4 16 60 793 9004 16424


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