Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-10-31

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3441 2391 76 154 452 17 0 0
OW 0 305 83 216 615 164 0 0
VODI 0 45 55 104 650 716 39 0
ODI 0 25 29 81 667 1235 211 0
CDI 0 18 26 185 593 2805 388 0
VCDI 0 7 17 156 272 4169 9836 1839
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3730 2211 38 74 93 53 0 0
OW 0 406 67 126 287 383 29 0
VODI 0 82 47 76 214 479 126 0
ODI 0 35 15 65 341 992 139 0
CDI 0 9 20 212 343 2834 469 0
VCDI 0 0 0 41 512 4440 11194 1900
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3615 2301 64 35 25 0 0 0
OW 1 373 94 93 45 0 0 0
VODI 0 107 58 158 121 13 0 0
ODI 0 12 31 148 266 200 2 0
CDI 0 0 1 116 492 1989 483 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 431 6312 12788 1706
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4075 2172 9 15 2 0 0 0
OW 0 432 80 76 22 1 0 0
VODI 0 158 64 126 67 9 1 0
ODI 0 50 29 149 251 76 26 0
CDI 0 17 28 170 470 871 220 0
VCDI 0 0 0 27 328 6187 12948 2926
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4075 2129 16 17 8 0 0 0
OW 0 448 66 59 19 4 0 0
VODI 0 173 67 124 50 8 1 0
ODI 0 48 29 140 223 74 26 0
CDI 0 26 28 176 421 869 234 0
VCDI 0 5 4 47 419 6189 12934 2926

Date: 2024-11-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4022 2108 10 1 4 0 0 0
OW 1 381 56 135 31 0 0 0
VODI 0 170 91 185 108 16 0 0
ODI 0 21 22 148 269 91 16 0
CDI 0 6 9 143 518 677 167 0
VCDI 0 0 0 28 361 4866 12412 5009
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4022 2136 7 4 4 0 0 0
OW 1 345 53 87 35 1 0 0
VODI 0 167 98 241 67 18 0 0
ODI 0 19 17 132 222 88 21 0
CDI 0 16 8 137 493 614 167 0
VCDI 0 3 5 39 470 4929 12407 5009

Date: 2024-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3522 2266 14 14 0 0 0 0
OW 1 332 54 53 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 120 78 324 93 7 0 0
ODI 0 5 5 164 408 83 2 0
CDI 0 2 1 45 820 843 91 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 153 4208 11823 6548
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3522 2365 28 17 0 0 0 0
OW 1 275 48 85 14 3 0 0
VODI 0 79 64 315 190 21 0 0
ODI 0 6 9 91 301 71 3 0
CDI 0 0 3 88 467 368 27 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 505 4678 11886 6548

Date: 2024-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2773 2322 54 92 16 0 0 0
OW 1 178 85 139 80 1 0 0
VODI 0 38 60 186 177 16 0 0
ODI 0 11 18 87 383 174 0 0
CDI 0 19 6 38 306 923 23 0
VCDI 0 44 14 87 827 5504 8934 8466
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2773 2242 78 116 36 0 0 0
OW 1 189 46 142 65 1 0 0
VODI 0 93 60 132 230 36 0 0
ODI 0 27 33 90 258 224 0 0
CDI 0 12 4 50 191 627 17 0
VCDI 0 49 16 99 1009 5730 8940 8466

Date: 2024-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2667 2167 54 68 55 0 0 0
OW 1 173 67 111 90 4 0 0
VODI 0 58 51 181 176 74 0 0
ODI 0 3 8 83 191 203 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 30 205 823 87 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 164 3777 10016 10484
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 2667 1841 34 27 3 0 0 0
OW 1 301 54 104 44 0 0 0
VODI 0 217 54 145 206 34 0 0
ODI 0 37 30 118 198 165 10 0
CDI 0 5 8 69 177 529 61 17
VCDI 0 0 0 10 253 4153 10043 10467


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