Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-10-31

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15159 4792 89 137 91 2 0 0
OW 3 810 169 307 292 33 0 0
VODI 0 133 114 310 483 217 3 0
ODI 0 14 16 106 359 478 30 0
CDI 0 2 4 52 126 1153 151 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 20 2571 11846 5793
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12819 5648 113 80 3 0 0 0
OW 0 904 189 297 152 85 0 0
VODI 0 153 124 446 478 372 2 0
ODI 0 19 10 83 368 563 40 0
CDI 0 4 7 30 197 1122 456 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 14 1480 11514 8094
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12189 5635 98 94 2 0 0 0
OW 19 650 228 245 41 0 0 0
VODI 0 94 105 494 331 23 0 0
ODI 0 4 10 158 600 249 6 0
CDI 0 0 1 18 415 1241 365 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 16 1649 14292 6593
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11603 5174 200 154 24 0 0 0
OW 8 714 218 295 96 1 0 0
VODI 0 139 108 475 349 40 1 0
ODI 0 13 19 148 488 137 23 0
CDI 0 5 10 44 535 615 242 0
VCDI 0 1 2 7 124 2159 13279 8416
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11609 5400 230 171 27 0 0 0
OW 2 515 198 297 90 2 0 0
VODI 0 113 103 484 374 41 0 0
ODI 0 12 15 129 490 137 25 0
CDI 0 5 10 32 462 578 266 0
VCDI 0 1 1 10 173 2194 13254 8416

Date: 2024-11-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10930 4898 137 141 88 21 0 0
OW 5 730 192 363 176 56 0 0
VODI 0 202 94 325 387 182 0 0
ODI 0 13 31 98 354 340 6 0
CDI 0 0 5 60 335 529 226 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 101 1943 10601 12293
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10925 5127 176 171 102 31 0 0
OW 10 538 168 336 167 59 0 0
VODI 0 168 89 348 425 192 0 0
ODI 0 10 20 81 378 367 13 0
CDI 0 0 6 50 269 472 206 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 100 1950 10614 12293

Date: 2024-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10346 4236 160 198 20 0 0 0
OW 12 672 194 315 73 3 0 0
VODI 0 149 179 603 422 33 0 0
ODI 0 3 14 101 650 290 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 315 1233 154 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 41 2504 12610 10296
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10317 4353 213 375 44 0 0 0
OW 36 532 209 366 295 23 2 0
VODI 5 123 97 363 572 241 17 0
ODI 0 32 19 80 320 499 23 0
CDI 0 16 4 47 197 615 86 0
VCDI 0 4 5 17 93 2685 12645 10296

Date: 2024-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9455 3924 202 308 162 0 0 0
OW 11 651 162 353 238 10 0 0
VODI 5 158 152 440 551 89 0 0
ODI 0 18 24 179 463 274 5 0
CDI 0 7 5 60 360 798 128 0
VCDI 0 1 3 7 83 2379 12484 11717
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9457 3934 227 261 136 8 0 0
OW 9 546 199 516 385 71 0 0
VODI 5 201 79 377 635 285 22 0
ODI 0 39 26 110 396 402 68 0
CDI 0 22 9 64 220 663 261 0
VCDI 0 17 8 19 85 2121 12266 11717

Date: 2024-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8972 3483 221 309 29 0 0 0
OW 5 536 143 337 368 73 0 0
VODI 0 155 53 237 652 413 9 0
ODI 0 92 7 50 514 514 27 0
CDI 0 38 7 21 169 928 194 0
VCDI 0 20 15 30 57 1389 12202 13597
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8977 3418 206 349 86 11 0 0
OW 0 517 153 347 500 110 7 0
VODI 0 162 48 217 683 606 49 0
ODI 0 115 16 20 345 720 98 0
CDI 0 47 4 18 117 741 404 0
VCDI 0 65 19 33 58 1129 11874 13597


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