Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-10-31

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 104008 11019 193 309 547 19 0 0
OW 1528 1314 308 633 982 199 0 0
VODI 2513 233 224 511 1198 1011 42 0
ODI 0 50 57 259 1144 1767 241 0
CDI 0 26 41 282 922 4261 550 0
VCDI 0 7 17 159 342 9524 26011 8359
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 101522 11636 375 189 96 53 0 0
OW 1407 1449 389 537 495 472 29 0
VODI 2708 279 253 655 797 906 128 0
ODI 0 74 37 238 846 1604 179 0
CDI 0 26 45 281 685 4506 956 0
VCDI 0 4 9 66 585 9270 26763 10261
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 100539 11944 213 161 27 0 0 0
OW 1369 1337 382 424 131 5 0 0
VODI 2782 273 241 790 585 136 0 0
ODI 0 28 54 387 979 649 11 0
CDI 0 4 12 170 1035 4098 916 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 489 10974 30281 9379
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 99489 11715 272 276 37 0 0 0
OW 1326 1467 378 493 159 2 0 0
VODI 2816 371 245 774 565 110 2 0
ODI 0 70 68 405 915 443 55 0
CDI 0 22 38 251 1209 2947 528 0
VCDI 0 1 2 34 475 11917 29591 11342
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 99495 11902 298 292 46 0 0 0
OW 1320 1269 352 468 154 7 0 0
VODI 2816 369 246 793 574 111 1 0
ODI 0 69 64 376 894 438 53 0
CDI 0 31 38 247 1076 3074 577 0
VCDI 0 6 5 57 616 11789 29545 11342

Date: 2024-11-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 98438 11432 203 254 101 21 0 0
OW 1311 1536 342 602 281 59 0 0
VODI 2839 480 272 673 619 258 0 0
ODI 0 45 85 387 741 625 28 0
CDI 0 6 14 268 1094 2157 489 0
VCDI 0 0 0 32 478 9798 27113 17729
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 98435 11716 238 282 119 31 0 0
OW 1315 1276 314 520 282 65 0 0
VODI 2838 446 276 765 599 276 0 0
ODI 0 42 69 356 726 645 37 0
CDI 0 16 14 249 1002 2134 476 0
VCDI 0 3 5 44 586 9767 27117 17729

Date: 2024-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97047 11214 208 247 29 0 0 0
OW 1231 1544 369 444 92 3 0 0
VODI 2997 317 345 1202 746 51 0 0
ODI 0 9 28 378 1334 600 16 0
CDI 0 2 2 90 1278 3760 475 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 197 9369 28141 17042
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 97018 11308 279 421 54 0 0 0
OW 1255 1333 335 541 383 26 2 0
VODI 3002 351 266 827 900 285 17 0
ODI 0 71 52 323 782 685 29 0
CDI 0 19 15 231 955 2070 254 0
VCDI 0 4 5 21 602 10717 28330 17042

Date: 2024-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94791 11227 325 486 194 0 0 0
OW 1203 1320 324 639 371 11 0 0
VODI 3038 282 299 840 991 110 0 0
ODI 0 32 52 354 1210 546 6 0
CDI 0 26 11 123 961 2374 225 0
VCDI 0 45 17 94 925 10939 25843 20576
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94794 11065 384 503 194 8 0 0
OW 1201 1199 299 813 570 72 0 0
VODI 3037 456 199 596 1140 340 22 0
ODI 0 106 99 307 870 709 76 0
CDI 0 40 23 199 761 1914 360 0
VCDI 0 66 24 118 1117 10937 25616 20576

Date: 2024-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93204 11524 383 477 85 0 0 0
OW 1172 1208 301 565 512 78 0 0
VODI 3064 338 190 599 1027 510 9 0
ODI 0 107 44 245 874 806 38 0
CDI 0 40 11 106 632 2400 295 0
VCDI 0 20 15 30 233 7701 27631 24336
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93208 10915 373 522 126 11 0 0
OW 1169 1398 257 547 629 115 7 0
VODI 3063 601 177 494 1063 711 51 0
ODI 0 194 91 248 658 1007 118 0
CDI 0 64 27 167 560 1769 505 17
VCDI 0 65 19 44 327 7882 27292 24319


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