Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-10-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86039 3584 27 13 0 0 0 0
OW 1750 259 55 71 26 0 0 0
VODI 2230 96 63 105 104 21 0 0
ODI 0 30 38 54 78 100 1 0
CDI 0 30 28 176 109 276 80 0
VCDI 0 3 9 20 112 1609 5552 114
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86057 3510 19 15 1 0 0 0
OW 1762 321 65 56 17 1 0 0
VODI 2173 102 48 139 80 26 0 0
ODI 0 52 12 75 95 54 0 0
CDI 0 35 30 129 173 238 37 0
VCDI 0 0 0 17 78 2518 4911 16
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85695 3730 28 16 2 0 0 0
OW 1626 257 115 112 30 3 0 0
VODI 2383 20 28 172 168 17 0 0
ODI 0 4 8 65 189 48 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 28 206 1219 46 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 23 3054 3570 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85408 3878 47 28 9 0 0 0
OW 1549 150 85 130 73 5 0 0
VODI 2474 27 17 112 152 39 0 0
ODI 0 12 6 31 132 72 0 0
CDI 0 9 8 26 140 377 24 0
VCDI 0 0 1 4 20 2722 4768 327
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85408 3868 50 38 8 0 0 0
OW 1559 160 77 130 87 6 0 0
VODI 2464 29 23 102 148 38 0 0
ODI 0 13 6 30 122 71 0 0
CDI 0 6 7 27 143 397 35 0
VCDI 0 0 1 4 18 2703 4757 327

Date: 2024-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85216 3836 39 24 0 0 0 0
OW 1431 227 60 104 57 1 0 0
VODI 2672 61 74 113 91 47 0 0
ODI 0 12 22 108 116 42 0 0
CDI 0 2 8 55 209 363 10 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 36 3299 4097 426
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85217 3873 39 24 0 0 0 0
OW 1434 201 72 122 58 1 0 0
VODI 2668 53 66 109 92 46 0 0
ODI 0 10 19 100 117 22 0 0
CDI 0 1 7 53 203 392 12 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 39 3291 4095 426

Date: 2024-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84930 3970 46 59 4 0 0 0
OW 1387 204 32 64 78 28 0 0
VODI 2734 108 59 69 62 98 0 0
ODI 0 33 27 85 86 66 0 0
CDI 0 24 26 75 160 635 61 0
VCDI 0 2 6 19 68 3340 3957 260
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 84930 3907 50 86 17 0 0 0
OW 1390 231 42 53 94 33 0 0
VODI 2731 114 44 67 49 117 0 0
ODI 0 56 26 71 79 80 0 0
CDI 0 33 30 74 146 493 47 0
VCDI 0 0 4 20 73 3444 3971 260

Date: 2024-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83805 4652 40 66 9 0 0 0
OW 1336 319 83 88 58 3 0 0
VODI 2798 74 79 167 132 84 0 0
ODI 0 10 25 89 139 190 4 0
CDI 0 0 2 47 174 1372 39 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 36 3206 3698 38
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83811 4539 74 132 46 22 0 0
OW 1352 288 26 37 80 51 0 0
VODI 2776 155 77 72 69 114 1 0
ODI 0 64 26 115 88 134 4 0
CDI 0 9 26 99 207 607 15 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 58 3927 3721 38

Date: 2024-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
...observations not yet available ...observations not yet available


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