Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-10-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5096 5936 339 847 919 26 0 0
OW 15 840 142 487 593 77 0 0
VODI 1 157 39 193 280 246 3 0
ODI 0 62 5 32 141 272 17 0
CDI 0 77 24 47 99 466 128 0
VCDI 0 34 30 52 131 785 8483 4961
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4542 4445 341 686 483 173 0 0
OW 69 892 120 391 1132 523 8 0
VODI 49 286 115 297 685 485 12 0
ODI 3 73 10 68 220 346 21 0
CDI 0 115 23 33 128 527 158 0
VCDI 0 10 34 129 83 1097 6802 6468
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3830 3400 296 445 177 9 0 0
OW 0 838 181 492 526 136 0 0
VODI 0 195 40 229 588 605 7 0
ODI 0 73 14 89 715 1232 81 0
CDI 0 80 21 37 717 2115 255 0
VCDI 0 25 42 125 157 2132 9444 2734
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3470 2461 122 371 651 14 0 0
OW 0 294 84 333 443 148 0 0
VODI 0 94 79 163 777 949 43 0
ODI 0 38 18 104 477 1308 90 0
CDI 0 26 25 175 702 2648 485 0
VCDI 0 33 39 113 240 4167 10021 877
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3470 2481 126 457 777 46 0 0
OW 0 262 76 246 364 238 8 0
VODI 0 106 68 152 712 889 46 0
ODI 0 35 28 112 543 1356 76 0
CDI 0 31 29 175 641 2631 511 0
VCDI 0 31 40 117 253 4074 9998 877

Date: 2024-10-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3550 2387 58 101 191 28 0 0
OW 0 339 94 156 462 342 7 0
VODI 0 68 39 91 431 467 60 0
ODI 0 33 19 62 542 1280 125 0
CDI 0 16 30 189 519 2835 467 0
VCDI 0 2 8 88 428 4374 10803 1391
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3550 2405 65 136 376 140 0 0
OW 0 306 81 110 334 304 26 0
VODI 0 83 43 95 437 529 63 0
ODI 0 34 24 70 443 1164 112 0
CDI 0 17 30 184 514 2927 503 0
VCDI 0 0 5 92 469 4262 10758 1391

Date: 2024-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3508 2345 61 64 14 0 0 0
OW 0 402 89 93 67 4 0 0
VODI 0 59 66 204 145 32 0 0
ODI 0 0 8 148 378 470 76 0
CDI 0 0 0 64 426 3953 573 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 322 4415 11911 2185
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3508 2287 71 133 255 82 10 0
OW 0 402 86 105 190 289 100 0
VODI 0 93 32 119 121 354 211 0
ODI 0 23 22 49 127 859 173 0
CDI 0 1 13 155 211 2273 502 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 448 5017 11564 2185

Date: 2024-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3976 2169 11 19 16 0 0 0
OW 1 415 77 63 25 2 0 0
VODI 0 157 52 125 83 17 0 0
ODI 0 42 37 136 236 131 14 0
CDI 0 5 17 170 438 1298 279 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 326 6616 12685 2432
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3977 2054 47 114 239 31 0 0
OW 0 477 58 90 196 100 7 0
VODI 0 141 36 83 73 339 159 0
ODI 0 58 15 58 107 486 241 0
CDI 0 57 33 130 225 1289 671 0
VCDI 0 1 5 50 284 5819 11900 2432

Date: 2024-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3992 2185 10 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 418 83 132 35 2 0 0
VODI 0 130 81 178 68 16 0 0
ODI 0 26 16 166 270 84 21 0
CDI 0 3 6 170 487 724 244 0
VCDI 0 0 0 17 308 5172 13503 3528
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3992 2128 61 130 215 96 1 0
OW 0 433 66 113 136 85 9 0
VODI 0 142 18 119 135 335 154 0
ODI 0 37 23 82 153 383 249 0
CDI 0 22 28 178 311 992 668 0
VCDI 0 0 0 48 218 4107 12687 3528


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