Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-10-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-10-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8714 6676 164 113 1 0 0 0
OW 1 636 88 150 42 0 0 0
VODI 0 132 65 221 168 5 0 0
ODI 0 19 15 80 265 183 0 0
CDI 0 8 8 31 154 734 188 0
VCDI 0 0 1 10 41 800 7888 4481
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6639 8279 380 344 30 0 0 0
OW 33 603 135 216 43 1 0 0
VODI 0 116 54 229 177 13 0 0
ODI 0 30 34 86 226 82 3 0
CDI 0 22 11 77 202 516 57 0
VCDI 0 4 9 25 95 1055 8602 3654
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4522 9824 461 554 29 0 0 0
OW 16 250 137 388 127 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 29 260 423 19 0 0
ODI 0 0 7 40 293 181 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 133 593 82 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 44 764 5593 7284
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5349 6749 539 1393 238 9 0 0
OW 13 664 131 244 313 52 0 0
VODI 0 102 61 128 279 202 0 0
ODI 0 42 14 41 118 306 5 0
CDI 0 32 22 62 81 444 152 0
VCDI 0 4 6 41 137 738 8943 4428
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5356 6926 564 1494 333 26 0 0
OW 6 482 123 153 275 70 0 0
VODI 0 112 43 130 258 216 0 0
ODI 0 37 13 34 85 292 7 0
CDI 0 33 23 53 78 404 138 0
VCDI 0 3 7 45 137 743 8955 4428

Date: 2024-10-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4917 4999 347 671 645 207 0 0
OW 12 881 147 387 1238 211 1 0
VODI 9 247 88 250 488 228 29 0
ODI 0 74 4 56 174 297 10 0
CDI 0 91 23 37 134 489 142 0
VCDI 0 35 39 89 111 866 5981 7428
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4919 5253 382 776 921 292 0 0
OW 11 678 143 313 1103 176 9 0
VODI 8 200 57 246 391 222 23 0
ODI 0 66 4 31 158 280 15 0
CDI 0 95 24 35 118 404 107 0
VCDI 0 35 38 89 99 924 6009 7428

Date: 2024-10-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3716 4576 312 500 177 15 0 0
OW 0 940 156 352 431 95 0 0
VODI 0 138 66 300 733 597 29 0
ODI 0 58 21 67 1115 815 73 0
CDI 0 25 40 59 538 1474 222 0
VCDI 0 0 9 87 124 1345 8565 4312
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3716 4173 326 645 667 383 13 0
OW 0 835 120 294 839 1011 92 0
VODI 0 427 68 235 757 656 155 0
ODI 0 88 9 38 396 364 35 0
CDI 0 167 20 18 231 466 123 0
VCDI 0 47 61 135 228 1461 8471 4312

Date: 2024-10-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3456 2876 283 604 307 3 0 0
OW 0 459 165 433 380 190 0 0
VODI 0 125 78 380 793 765 10 0
ODI 0 39 38 126 492 1266 57 0
CDI 0 46 23 158 728 2544 361 0
VCDI 0 58 16 96 172 3527 9169 1859
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3456 2656 278 706 391 222 2 0
OW 0 419 111 280 665 1178 93 0
VODI 0 272 93 351 883 1785 142 0
ODI 0 70 48 157 493 797 59 0
CDI 0 85 44 137 305 1214 364 0
VCDI 0 101 29 166 135 3099 8937 1859

Date: 2024-10-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3441 2391 76 154 452 17 0 0
OW 0 305 83 216 615 164 0 0
VODI 0 45 55 104 650 716 39 0
ODI 0 25 29 81 667 1235 211 0
CDI 0 18 26 185 593 2805 388 0
VCDI 0 7 17 156 272 4169 9836 1839
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3441 2145 78 229 689 135 0 0
OW 0 282 51 129 715 678 20 0
VODI 0 232 35 90 833 1868 371 0
ODI 0 51 31 82 584 1689 230 0
CDI 0 70 61 149 240 1681 505 0
VCDI 0 11 30 217 188 3055 9348 1839


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