Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-10-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-10-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12943 4417 118 48 1 0 0 0
OW 1 234 115 286 76 4 0 0
VODI 0 24 47 239 307 99 2 0
ODI 0 0 1 32 158 315 109 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 65 708 702 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 908 8881 1238
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11597 5168 119 101 6 0 0 0
OW 1 234 119 273 135 12 0 0
VODI 0 32 35 160 445 103 2 0
ODI 0 1 2 44 168 402 85 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 68 635 850 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 456 7431 3388
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11949 4292 90 67 9 1 0 0
OW 1 262 95 144 28 7 0 0
VODI 0 48 86 246 168 23 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 71 374 217 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 136 929 411 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 572 8230 3613
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9281 6097 236 146 7 0 0 0
OW 1 482 128 154 76 10 0 0
VODI 0 57 59 200 204 65 0 0
ODI 0 1 4 51 210 360 7 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 93 650 586 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 11 709 8415 3765
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9281 6128 260 186 11 0 0 0
OW 1 432 106 146 95 14 0 0
VODI 0 74 53 168 223 118 0 0
ODI 0 3 8 51 166 402 21 0
CDI 0 0 0 17 92 554 583 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 14 706 8404 3765

Date: 2024-10-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7693 7707 176 147 3 0 0 0
OW 26 622 104 175 38 0 0 0
VODI 0 135 75 195 149 5 0 0
ODI 0 32 29 116 230 96 0 0
CDI 0 12 13 52 252 574 71 0
VCDI 0 2 5 22 111 950 8739 3526
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 7707 7785 210 186 4 0 0 0
OW 12 525 88 172 45 0 0 0
VODI 0 150 56 183 190 19 0 0
ODI 0 34 28 89 232 151 0 0
CDI 0 16 19 56 204 548 91 0
VCDI 0 0 1 21 108 907 8719 3526

Date: 2024-10-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6130 8803 348 246 5 0 0 0
OW 17 442 170 248 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 35 104 453 160 2 0 0
ODI 0 2 9 104 438 63 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 27 169 737 72 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 31 693 5919 6619
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 6125 8771 416 452 29 0 0 0
OW 20 424 120 293 103 0 0 0
VODI 2 69 44 187 278 42 0 0
ODI 0 13 36 53 189 157 15 0
CDI 0 5 15 73 148 469 82 0
VCDI 0 0 2 28 82 827 5894 6619

Date: 2024-10-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 4026 9389 625 769 69 16 0 0
OW 19 402 104 350 236 31 0 0
VODI 0 42 37 144 443 91 0 0
ODI 0 12 14 31 137 323 4 0
CDI 0 6 13 52 129 354 149 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 87 754 6682 6540
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 3979 9212 620 883 291 72 0 0
OW 58 459 86 228 263 149 5 0
VODI 8 107 42 109 211 250 39 0
ODI 0 36 18 44 90 149 88 0
CDI 0 34 21 53 105 248 178 0
VCDI 0 3 6 31 141 701 6525 6540

Date: 2024-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5096 5936 339 847 919 26 0 0
OW 15 840 142 487 593 77 0 0
VODI 1 157 39 193 280 246 3 0
ODI 0 62 5 32 141 272 17 0
CDI 0 77 24 47 99 466 128 0
VCDI 0 34 30 52 131 785 8483 4961
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5100 5789 394 1059 1216 122 0 0
OW 12 716 74 276 429 229 7 0
VODI 0 275 43 134 218 324 24 0
ODI 0 92 8 44 67 255 68 0
CDI 0 140 7 42 49 279 308 0
VCDI 0 94 53 103 184 663 8224 4961


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