Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-10-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-10-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20541 6119 82 49 3 0 0 0
OW 43 748 168 335 42 7 0 0
VODI 0 178 121 484 220 58 0 0
ODI 0 14 22 231 390 200 20 0
CDI 0 21 3 44 279 691 194 0
VCDI 0 7 2 28 140 2569 8667 3146
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21001 5364 53 18 1 0 0 0
OW 88 861 244 323 34 8 0 0
VODI 3 149 102 664 181 56 0 0
ODI 0 19 17 328 330 226 12 0
CDI 0 24 0 53 328 831 169 0
VCDI 0 27 6 18 115 2102 7692 4419
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19940 6526 113 72 0 0 0 0
OW 0 589 260 399 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 66 71 768 293 68 0 0
ODI 0 8 7 89 509 378 19 0
CDI 0 14 3 10 64 1193 233 0
VCDI 0 7 0 6 85 1533 8410 4116
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19729 6054 153 82 0 0 0 0
OW 5 520 254 682 38 3 0 0
VODI 8 61 48 543 540 91 7 0
ODI 2 12 4 75 569 392 100 0
CDI 2 19 1 11 105 1444 676 0
VCDI 2 23 9 29 90 1584 6882 5017
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19733 6116 234 224 2 0 0 0
OW 1 467 177 552 73 18 0 0
VODI 8 50 45 528 510 98 22 0
ODI 2 14 3 79 527 322 98 0
CDI 2 17 0 8 136 1387 643 0
VCDI 2 25 10 31 94 1689 6902 5017

Date: 2024-10-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18996 5841 173 233 11 0 0 0
OW 3 478 167 473 336 66 0 0
VODI 3 89 31 238 750 268 1 0
ODI 2 22 20 59 384 727 18 0
CDI 2 13 13 29 147 1337 1226 0
VCDI 0 18 5 35 87 1947 7875 3743
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18996 5936 220 377 89 3 0 0
OW 3 412 122 378 350 96 0 0
VODI 3 65 33 183 696 300 5 0
ODI 2 17 16 63 333 597 35 0
CDI 2 13 13 26 159 1389 1162 0
VCDI 0 18 5 40 88 1960 7918 3743

Date: 2024-10-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18408 5561 169 218 18 0 0 0
OW 1 473 129 280 104 3 0 0
VODI 0 72 98 447 371 55 75 0
ODI 0 5 6 94 564 389 57 0
CDI 0 12 0 33 174 1957 397 0
VCDI 0 2 4 13 65 2189 8901 4522
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18400 5668 228 375 149 6 0 0
OW 9 308 118 353 305 171 0 0
VODI 0 96 32 187 437 639 11 0
ODI 0 35 17 81 167 680 58 0
CDI 0 13 7 59 123 1112 633 0
VCDI 0 5 4 30 115 1985 8728 4522

Date: 2024-10-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17450 5906 135 144 30 0 0 0
OW 0 464 145 302 134 3 0 0
VODI 0 96 100 411 479 67 0 0
ODI 0 8 10 170 475 301 3 0
CDI 4 15 1 56 309 1468 364 0
VCDI 0 28 6 14 105 2560 9801 4302
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17450 5536 126 201 60 7 0 0
OW 0 810 146 326 286 83 3 0
VODI 0 102 107 394 561 439 131 0
ODI 0 19 5 114 245 379 257 0
CDI 4 10 7 32 158 834 455 0
VCDI 0 40 6 30 222 2657 9322 4302

Date: 2024-10-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15838 6280 131 156 39 0 0 0
OW 4 660 158 295 216 41 0 0
VODI 0 148 112 342 368 209 4 0
ODI 0 9 10 119 325 471 11 0
CDI 0 13 1 33 376 1116 251 0
VCDI 0 3 7 43 90 2807 10771 4409
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15842 5817 108 156 67 5 0 0
OW 0 974 144 253 205 66 3 0
VODI 0 272 132 408 586 557 77 0
ODI 0 24 26 83 210 755 239 0
CDI 0 14 1 34 142 527 737 4
VCDI 0 12 8 54 204 2734 9981 4405


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