Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-10-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-09-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87798 2877 41 86 45 0 0 0
OW 2243 177 44 77 72 5 0 0
VODI 1601 56 51 60 92 16 0 0
ODI 0 6 14 72 78 52 0 0
CDI 0 0 1 29 117 293 18 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 50 1549 3416 1826
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87797 2846 45 78 34 2 0 0
OW 2205 173 29 35 87 41 0 0
VODI 1637 98 32 46 64 51 0 0
ODI 0 28 35 35 35 49 0 0
CDI 0 2 9 79 105 153 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 86 1912 3375 1651
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87559 2940 53 52 17 0 0 0
OW 2136 247 42 67 40 3 0 0
VODI 1725 32 37 95 89 46 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 48 72 98 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 15 59 370 38 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 53 676 4975 1275
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87165 2985 47 65 35 1 0 0
OW 2163 205 63 80 91 30 0 0
VODI 1638 42 30 89 94 69 0 0
ODI 0 1 7 42 99 85 3 0
CDI 0 0 1 12 69 287 24 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 23 995 4114 2207
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87165 3005 51 72 44 3 0 0
OW 2163 180 58 71 72 34 0 0
VODI 1638 47 30 90 112 65 0 0
ODI 0 1 8 44 93 87 2 0
CDI 0 0 1 12 72 317 38 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 18 961 4101 2207

Date: 2024-10-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86916 2992 58 78 37 0 0 0
OW 2136 204 49 91 76 40 0 0
VODI 1669 37 36 84 68 73 0 0
ODI 0 5 15 46 74 76 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 115 209 51 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 20 871 4414 2290
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86916 3001 57 87 47 2 0 0
OW 2136 191 48 74 69 38 0 0
VODI 1669 40 37 92 66 67 0 0
ODI 0 6 16 48 74 84 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 30 128 233 71 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 845 4394 2290

Date: 2024-10-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86484 3163 45 97 4 0 0 0
OW 2043 145 68 95 52 12 0 0
VODI 1828 11 28 145 113 38 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 35 114 76 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 90 383 152 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 823 5117 1697
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86487 3108 54 147 72 32 0 0
OW 2051 157 46 74 58 59 4 0
VODI 1817 43 25 70 69 70 5 0
ODI 0 11 16 46 57 76 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 36 116 227 122 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 868 5124 1697

Date: 2024-10-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86434 3131 45 66 4 0 0 0
OW 2008 113 44 92 47 0 0 0
VODI 1865 39 35 78 128 38 1 0
ODI 0 0 24 61 71 72 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 120 338 89 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 719 5811 1342
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86478 2967 45 113 71 28 2 0
OW 2067 171 24 25 52 49 4 0
VODI 1762 104 28 68 61 66 14 0
ODI 0 33 29 48 46 48 28 0
CDI 0 8 22 71 130 240 106 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 17 736 5755 1342

Date: 2024-10-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86586 2971 64 1 0 0 0 0
OW 1971 231 52 30 0 0 0 0
VODI 1904 78 46 102 79 0 0 0
ODI 0 34 25 63 92 18 0 0
CDI 0 6 21 95 208 251 4 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 108 1564 4072 2186
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86575 2846 103 65 23 0 0 0
OW 1951 198 9 27 79 6 0 0
VODI 1935 131 26 42 85 26 0 0
ODI 0 82 27 31 33 60 0 0
CDI 0 63 37 112 131 143 0 0
VCDI 0 0 6 14 136 1598 4076 2186


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