Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-10-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-09-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13722 4356 62 22 3 0 0 0
OW 1 354 133 293 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 88 45 205 402 47 0 0
ODI 0 12 3 50 341 308 3 0
CDI 0 4 8 17 71 1170 613 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 14 1248 7667 792
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13581 4222 29 7 0 0 0 0
OW 1 444 161 299 21 0 0 0
VODI 0 63 51 258 333 87 5 0
ODI 0 9 10 51 257 264 31 0
CDI 0 7 6 23 71 623 1029 0
VCDI 0 0 1 5 13 631 8723 766
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13490 4376 43 25 0 0 0 0
OW 1 341 136 141 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 57 406 131 7 0 0
ODI 0 2 3 52 349 185 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 88 759 248 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 556 9208 1439
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13157 4455 52 38 0 0 0 0
OW 1 302 160 217 34 1 0 0
VODI 0 35 48 360 187 31 0 0
ODI 0 0 6 54 276 218 29 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 107 842 322 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1599 7925 1623
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13157 4562 67 50 2 0 0 0
OW 1 214 155 226 42 1 0 0
VODI 0 16 41 343 211 26 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 52 238 213 34 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 111 807 341 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1644 7901 1623

Date: 2024-10-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11917 5107 135 116 12 0 0 0
OW 1 225 93 243 138 16 0 0
VODI 0 32 41 143 409 119 9 0
ODI 0 0 0 45 118 395 98 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 58 608 752 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 714 7500 3030
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11917 5169 142 135 20 0 0 0
OW 1 171 88 226 150 18 0 0
VODI 0 24 39 149 411 134 6 0
ODI 0 0 0 35 97 380 96 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 57 577 628 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 743 7629 3030

Date: 2024-10-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12220 4341 46 43 0 0 0 0
OW 1 266 114 110 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 43 69 305 149 28 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 97 429 160 54 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 173 936 268 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 489 8319 3393
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12220 4304 82 79 14 1 0 0
OW 1 310 117 196 109 37 0 0
VODI 0 32 25 253 350 150 0 0
ODI 0 4 6 27 223 396 80 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 77 617 796 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 412 7765 3393

Date: 2024-10-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9950 5769 212 199 8 0 0 0
OW 1 289 93 185 50 6 0 0
VODI 0 62 62 221 182 44 0 0
ODI 0 1 5 48 336 274 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 120 765 494 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 11 817 7695 4167
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 9950 5421 192 211 16 0 0 0
OW 1 583 124 228 115 46 0 0
VODI 0 89 44 175 317 195 5 0
ODI 0 25 9 34 187 381 115 0
CDI 0 3 3 17 68 555 667 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 729 7406 4167

Date: 2024-10-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8714 6676 164 113 1 0 0 0
OW 1 636 88 150 42 0 0 0
VODI 0 132 65 221 168 5 0 0
ODI 0 19 15 80 265 183 0 0
CDI 0 8 8 31 154 734 188 0
VCDI 0 0 1 10 41 800 7888 4481
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 8673 6625 176 142 16 0 0 0
OW 42 636 96 190 123 6 0 0
VODI 0 156 50 199 259 164 5 0
ODI 0 37 10 37 156 373 31 0
CDI 0 17 8 34 102 522 400 0
VCDI 0 0 1 3 15 657 7640 4481


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