Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-10-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-09-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21188 5827 51 41 19 0 0 0
OW 29 706 187 239 80 0 0 0
VODI 0 144 92 596 400 33 0 0
ODI 0 23 15 134 579 409 5 0
CDI 3 13 6 32 335 2214 392 0
VCDI 0 5 0 5 32 2828 7125 2079
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21026 5614 62 48 21 7 0 0
OW 42 651 188 449 84 26 0 0
VODI 2 188 79 387 430 226 9 0
ODI 0 62 27 120 433 594 38 0
CDI 0 15 11 46 203 1518 967 0
VCDI 0 8 2 13 37 1965 8824 1444
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19788 6873 88 105 4 0 0 0
OW 5 666 147 159 80 15 0 0
VODI 0 99 142 496 227 74 0 0
ODI 0 6 3 160 528 243 25 0
CDI 0 5 1 2 295 1114 54 0
VCDI 0 2 0 6 37 3373 9956 1088
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-10-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20508 6305 63 26 1 0 0 0
OW 39 715 210 195 47 3 0 0
VODI 0 150 136 483 204 56 0 0
ODI 0 19 16 213 428 202 1 0
CDI 0 10 4 46 248 710 213 0
VCDI 0 7 0 13 143 2382 9670 2400
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20509 6279 98 48 5 0 0 0
OW 38 740 173 193 49 4 0 0
VODI 0 151 134 464 215 47 0 0
ODI 0 18 19 207 391 205 3 0
CDI 0 10 5 47 251 687 121 0
VCDI 0 8 0 17 160 2410 9760 2400

Date: 2024-10-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20636 5883 77 39 3 0 0 0
OW 46 791 211 323 43 6 0 0
VODI 0 165 99 573 207 82 0 0
ODI 0 19 19 281 348 230 15 0
CDI 0 19 1 26 322 793 206 0
VCDI 0 11 6 15 147 2518 7994 3712
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20643 5917 103 74 8 0 0 0
OW 39 758 202 324 52 8 0 0
VODI 0 161 81 499 195 65 0 0
ODI 0 18 19 307 337 231 15 0
CDI 0 19 2 35 325 715 80 0
VCDI 0 15 6 18 153 2610 8120 3712

Date: 2024-10-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20332 6300 87 36 0 0 0 0
OW 2 600 282 302 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 73 102 814 245 36 0 0
ODI 0 12 4 143 532 359 7 0
CDI 0 15 3 12 92 1243 135 0
VCDI 0 5 0 6 117 1816 8225 3924
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20301 5940 106 76 9 0 0 0
OW 33 862 253 306 33 18 0 0
VODI 0 138 93 634 185 76 0 0
ODI 0 14 18 233 392 248 20 0
CDI 0 20 2 39 215 738 145 0
VCDI 0 31 6 25 157 2374 8202 3924

Date: 2024-10-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19861 6330 121 103 5 0 0 0
OW 4 522 214 564 38 2 0 0
VODI 3 73 60 681 385 79 2 0
ODI 0 11 4 77 562 382 48 0
CDI 0 18 6 5 67 1357 352 0
VCDI 0 8 2 21 42 1399 8293 4165
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19819 5702 155 198 26 5 0 0
OW 44 991 133 325 59 31 0 0
VODI 4 183 101 666 205 98 2 0
ODI 1 18 9 224 493 248 17 0
CDI 0 26 1 13 260 771 167 0
VCDI 0 42 8 25 56 2066 8509 4165

Date: 2024-10-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19240 6159 135 81 2 0 0 0
OW 2 549 216 583 224 2 0 0
VODI 6 75 51 329 752 105 4 0
ODI 1 17 11 71 482 573 66 0
CDI 2 18 6 15 157 1497 945 0
VCDI 2 18 8 37 92 1849 7320 4164
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19234 5821 143 212 15 0 0 0
OW 6 679 130 275 118 16 0 0
VODI 4 237 115 419 464 142 1 0
ODI 3 15 25 131 542 307 10 0
CDI 4 20 0 23 388 638 228 0
VCDI 2 64 14 56 182 2923 8096 4164


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