Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-09-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-09-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88302 2849 90 27 0 0 0 0
OW 2477 307 51 128 3 0 0 0
VODI 1302 146 42 141 178 22 0 0
ODI 0 16 20 83 142 150 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 95 726 387 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 870 3626 660
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88120 2806 90 89 1 0 0 0
OW 2408 210 60 169 81 0 0 0
VODI 1386 39 34 125 211 81 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 30 100 180 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 37 379 287 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 853 3302 1770
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88041 2732 46 47 3 0 0 0
OW 2277 322 42 77 15 0 0 0
VODI 1544 55 55 150 109 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 10 50 180 31 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 146 506 141 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 723 5087 456
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87791 2815 51 94 43 0 0 0
OW 2249 216 58 83 63 11 0 0
VODI 1594 45 53 74 92 31 0 0
ODI 0 1 6 86 75 78 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 108 335 70 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 25 1264 4419 1015
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87795 2855 62 114 40 0 0 0
OW 2245 188 54 67 70 11 0 0
VODI 1594 30 49 90 98 40 0 0
ODI 0 4 3 70 84 81 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 12 90 346 70 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 24 1241 4420 1015

Date: 2024-09-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87822 2854 39 79 56 1 0 0
OW 2231 158 40 54 77 17 0 0
VODI 1618 66 38 63 66 36 0 0
ODI 0 7 23 61 66 36 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 40 126 232 10 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 72 1703 3382 1787
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87829 2885 44 103 63 1 0 0
OW 2224 136 42 38 70 15 0 0
VODI 1618 54 39 65 74 42 0 0
ODI 0 10 15 59 76 49 0 0
CDI 0 0 2 32 109 225 27 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 71 1693 3365 1787

Date: 2024-09-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87622 2982 46 50 9 0 0 0
OW 2153 249 35 49 33 0 0 0
VODI 1696 74 49 90 85 17 0 0
ODI 0 2 16 61 71 84 2 0
CDI 0 0 3 27 104 403 65 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 55 967 4376 1383
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87683 2959 69 100 54 5 0 0
OW 2218 159 14 34 63 55 0 0
VODI 1570 110 15 41 32 86 2 0
ODI 0 58 25 22 39 59 0 0
CDI 0 21 20 66 62 133 10 0
VCDI 0 0 6 18 107 1133 4431 1383

Date: 2024-10-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87348 3012 49 70 32 0 0 0
OW 2171 216 56 78 76 7 0 0
VODI 1630 23 29 96 101 61 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 36 77 102 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 51 328 46 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 24 765 5191 1173
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87353 2999 55 89 94 7 0 0
OW 2186 159 39 46 52 87 0 0
VODI 1610 64 13 72 55 107 5 0
ODI 0 21 17 21 61 109 2 0
CDI 0 8 11 44 50 146 37 0
VCDI 0 0 1 16 49 807 5197 1173

Date: 2024-10-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86262 3696 80 95 35 1 0 0
OW 2155 210 41 91 89 30 0 0
VODI 1648 24 43 97 83 77 1 0
ODI 0 0 4 46 94 82 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 100 258 51 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 772 4450 2227
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86263 3803 98 122 63 20 0 0
OW 2162 103 36 95 107 68 0 0
VODI 1640 21 20 76 95 126 2 0
ODI 0 3 12 26 65 135 19 0
CDI 0 0 2 24 72 149 111 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 722 4370 2227


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