Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-09-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-09-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13547 4824 18 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 642 227 254 31 1 0 0
VODI 0 124 108 594 325 102 0 0
ODI 0 4 8 133 625 712 41 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 105 2742 1061 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1645 4205 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14060 4247 16 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 674 172 233 45 0 0 0
VODI 0 121 101 491 328 108 0 0
ODI 0 4 8 103 511 491 28 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 34 2444 677 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1913 5270 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13447 4763 57 23 0 0 0 0
OW 1 500 164 159 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 71 82 397 280 32 0 0
ODI 0 4 7 66 448 290 0 0
CDI 0 1 1 10 52 1097 1244 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 441 8128 290
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13945 4271 28 15 2 0 0 0
OW 1 415 158 185 25 5 0 0
VODI 0 81 48 382 206 65 0 0
ODI 0 15 6 79 364 274 5 0
CDI 0 3 6 18 63 1286 671 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 12 879 7935 630
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13945 4277 41 30 0 0 0 0
OW 1 407 152 184 46 3 0 0
VODI 0 83 41 368 191 74 0 0
ODI 0 15 6 76 341 248 4 0
CDI 0 3 5 21 82 1333 758 0
VCDI 0 0 1 4 12 851 7849 630

Date: 2024-09-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13593 4401 50 23 0 0 0 0
OW 1 349 135 319 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 75 59 208 361 77 0 0
ODI 0 13 10 52 271 297 4 0
CDI 0 5 6 25 93 1125 548 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 16 1258 7454 1226
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13593 4446 62 73 0 0 0 0
OW 1 315 129 269 39 3 0 0
VODI 0 64 52 212 342 62 0 0
ODI 0 13 11 47 273 302 5 0
CDI 0 4 5 25 95 1189 662 0
VCDI 0 1 1 6 15 1201 7339 1226

Date: 2024-09-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13514 4346 36 10 0 0 0 0
OW 1 376 117 121 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 38 76 427 115 14 0 0
ODI 0 3 5 95 402 171 6 0
CDI 0 0 1 8 87 799 179 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 332 10202 598
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13514 4342 60 49 4 0 0 0
OW 1 353 108 220 41 4 0 0
VODI 0 55 54 326 226 118 5 0
ODI 0 9 9 47 241 272 35 0
CDI 0 4 4 18 86 576 1028 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 9 346 9319 598

Date: 2024-10-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13407 4367 51 24 1 0 0 0
OW 1 347 134 161 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 59 397 125 17 0 0
ODI 0 2 5 71 307 186 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 111 841 184 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1152 8654 1417
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13407 4230 87 93 16 2 0 0
OW 1 379 85 205 70 25 0 0
VODI 0 125 55 276 158 192 15 0
ODI 0 11 21 72 223 253 53 0
CDI 0 0 1 14 98 936 674 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 788 8098 1417

Date: 2024-10-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12943 4417 118 48 1 0 0 0
OW 1 234 115 286 76 4 0 0
VODI 0 24 47 239 307 99 2 0
ODI 0 0 1 32 158 315 109 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 65 708 702 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 908 8881 1238
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12943 4410 134 114 36 4 0 0
OW 1 236 110 286 113 50 0 0
VODI 0 29 37 187 308 236 63 0
ODI 0 0 0 21 127 354 139 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 23 658 834 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 732 8658 1238


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