Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-09-19

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-09-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13857 4244 14 0 0 0 0 0
OW 1 948 246 151 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 142 221 872 254 22 0 0
ODI 0 2 14 298 1501 437 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 609 2352 738 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 51 3033 2061 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13512 4523 8 2 0 0 0 0
OW 1 1088 233 160 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 172 157 718 411 32 0 0
ODI 0 8 23 140 985 766 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 173 2694 35 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 4312 1912 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13966 4303 7 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 841 217 172 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 156 159 731 316 14 0 0
ODI 0 5 12 212 1291 779 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 186 6674 631 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 358 1029 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13829 4500 42 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 663 194 300 20 1 0 0
VODI 0 119 136 585 356 84 0 0
ODI 0 6 8 148 813 905 19 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 102 3259 1329 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1631 3024 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13829 4472 47 19 0 0 0 0
OW 0 682 187 307 19 4 0 0
VODI 0 124 133 564 388 83 0 0
ODI 0 10 13 133 758 787 40 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 126 3448 1312 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1558 3020 0

Date: 2024-09-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14072 4275 16 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 681 194 201 37 0 0 0
VODI 0 111 121 568 330 82 0 0
ODI 0 4 7 120 382 788 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 99 2801 985 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2007 4186 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14072 4326 36 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 631 176 206 39 2 0 0
VODI 0 106 115 543 325 74 0 0
ODI 0 8 11 115 378 738 19 0
CDI 0 0 0 19 106 2545 853 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 2319 4314 0

Date: 2024-09-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13409 4871 64 16 0 0 0 0
OW 1 439 173 223 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 48 78 575 197 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 91 551 234 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 84 2110 533 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 680 7679 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13410 4805 79 42 2 0 0 0
OW 0 461 176 334 51 2 0 0
VODI 0 92 59 440 355 121 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 92 359 715 75 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 75 1266 771 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 930 7366 0

Date: 2024-09-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14047 4216 32 23 3 0 0 0
OW 1 499 147 135 38 0 0 0
VODI 0 64 78 380 222 60 0 0
ODI 0 7 7 71 374 264 5 0
CDI 0 2 6 14 95 1228 856 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 9 692 8402 102
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14048 4153 45 17 0 0 0 0
OW 0 523 138 262 69 5 0 0
VODI 0 101 75 264 330 152 1 0
ODI 0 10 7 66 272 521 91 0
CDI 0 1 5 16 64 948 811 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 6 618 8360 102

Date: 2024-09-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13722 4356 62 22 3 0 0 0
OW 1 354 133 293 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 88 45 205 402 47 0 0
ODI 0 12 3 50 341 308 3 0
CDI 0 4 8 17 71 1170 613 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 14 1248 7667 792
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13722 4150 40 17 1 0 0 0
OW 1 541 155 269 106 10 0 0
VODI 0 97 39 238 312 202 3 0
ODI 0 20 8 47 351 370 65 0
CDI 0 6 9 17 66 951 712 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 18 1240 7503 792


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