Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-09-19

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-09-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21228 5538 49 7 5 0 0 0
OW 137 1560 333 227 43 4 0 0
VODI 0 171 216 1174 296 12 1 0
ODI 0 34 17 338 1551 419 11 0
CDI 0 26 9 38 626 4045 1131 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 20 2659 3938 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19342 7179 191 161 9 0 0 0
OW 109 1082 260 463 172 12 0 0
VODI 0 157 141 767 568 217 2 0
ODI 0 29 8 106 892 783 79 0
CDI 0 22 6 33 290 4500 2331 0
VCDI 0 6 0 2 8 2809 3130 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21218 6161 142 77 0 0 0 0
OW 63 729 289 515 97 1 0 0
VODI 0 43 44 605 570 119 2 0
ODI 0 4 4 158 982 1212 69 0
CDI 0 15 0 16 95 2550 2313 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 0 1651 6101 20
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20753 6273 197 190 13 0 0 0
OW 130 548 174 581 275 41 0 0
VODI 7 64 44 269 680 403 2 0
ODI 0 19 11 77 822 1414 51 0
CDI 0 23 9 26 207 2331 1005 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 7 3022 5643 555
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20767 6310 201 238 27 1 0 0
OW 116 519 176 567 231 41 0 0
VODI 7 52 37 247 722 353 14 0
ODI 0 18 10 60 764 1411 43 0
CDI 0 28 11 31 249 2312 980 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 11 3093 5664 555

Date: 2024-09-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20585 6082 192 301 16 0 0 0
OW 119 553 206 752 184 13 0 0
VODI 5 70 25 395 842 295 4 0
ODI 0 19 10 53 824 1048 26 0
CDI 0 26 17 37 230 2828 801 0
VCDI 0 5 0 12 29 1518 7132 612
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20602 6100 215 317 36 0 0 0
OW 103 526 182 706 188 13 0 0
VODI 4 75 26 420 762 294 12 0
ODI 0 21 8 58 783 911 14 0
CDI 0 27 17 30 321 2880 810 0
VCDI 0 6 2 19 35 1604 7127 612

Date: 2024-09-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20513 6502 133 100 8 0 0 0
OW 19 463 197 387 51 0 0 0
VODI 1 61 81 758 341 20 0 0
ODI 0 15 9 124 1003 342 3 0
CDI 0 7 0 10 367 3184 620 0
VCDI 0 5 0 0 10 974 8206 1352
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20451 6240 151 187 24 2 0 0
OW 81 656 203 673 192 17 0 0
VODI 1 99 49 463 690 363 8 0
ODI 0 23 6 33 690 811 27 0
CDI 0 29 11 20 159 2406 1168 0
VCDI 0 6 0 3 25 921 7626 1352

Date: 2024-09-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21209 5837 90 57 18 0 0 0
OW 25 613 185 216 71 11 0 0
VODI 0 82 99 675 275 73 0 0
ODI 0 13 9 142 661 437 2 0
CDI 2 7 3 11 240 2507 721 0
VCDI 0 8 1 12 21 1266 8255 2012
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21153 5502 129 127 26 0 0 0
OW 81 827 179 416 198 73 0 0
VODI 0 171 65 493 514 382 47 0
ODI 0 25 4 39 438 818 9 0
CDI 2 26 9 22 74 2086 1130 0
VCDI 0 9 1 16 36 935 7792 2012

Date: 2024-09-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21188 5827 51 41 19 0 0 0
OW 29 706 187 239 80 0 0 0
VODI 0 144 92 596 400 33 0 0
ODI 0 23 15 134 579 409 5 0
CDI 3 13 6 32 335 2214 392 0
VCDI 0 5 0 5 32 2828 7125 2079
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21177 5181 63 73 86 0 0 0
OW 40 1090 146 289 135 61 3 0
VODI 0 368 111 481 414 239 60 0
ODI 0 38 12 166 550 495 24 0
CDI 3 29 13 28 239 2793 563 0
VCDI 0 12 6 10 21 1896 6872 2079


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