Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-09-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-09-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88757 2662 30 7 0 0 0 0
OW 2969 483 150 197 0 0 0 0
VODI 747 43 78 404 162 1 0 0
ODI 0 2 10 78 544 335 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 303 2428 876 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 157 1435 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88607 2664 35 13 0 0 0 0
OW 2914 422 156 244 3 0 0 0
VODI 753 32 76 397 191 1 0 0
ODI 0 2 11 79 437 194 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 283 2724 649 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 911 1056 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88230 2906 48 2 0 0 0 0
OW 2649 305 123 114 0 0 0 0
VODI 1101 38 96 450 110 3 0 0
ODI 0 1 3 76 592 201 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 190 3399 646 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 239 1340 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87969 2992 40 9 0 0 0 0
OW 2452 286 111 178 4 0 0 0
VODI 1441 12 47 265 255 70 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 8 105 502 18 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 10 1813 644 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 630 2988 11
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88041 3011 48 9 0 0 0 0
OW 2534 269 109 195 6 0 0 0
VODI 1287 10 41 249 248 85 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 7 110 456 32 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 10 1794 609 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 680 3009 11

Date: 2024-09-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88119 2976 33 13 0 0 0 0
OW 2413 352 85 167 2 0 0 0
VODI 1488 51 60 248 217 32 0 0
ODI 0 1 5 18 169 295 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 49 1106 476 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1594 2891 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88195 3012 41 21 0 0 0 0
OW 2493 328 84 172 3 0 0 0
VODI 1332 39 53 235 210 46 0 0
ODI 0 1 5 14 167 280 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 57 1047 428 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1654 2935 0

Date: 2024-09-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87987 3007 57 68 4 0 0 0
OW 2535 264 29 90 0 0 0 0
VODI 1286 133 76 232 156 7 0 0
ODI 0 1 9 54 247 308 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 5 36 2523 387 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 554 2802 4
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87972 3064 53 77 4 0 0 0
OW 2450 311 76 204 18 0 0 0
VODI 1386 30 40 154 279 63 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 11 107 310 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 35 1380 360 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1639 2829 4

Date: 2024-09-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88072 3009 68 40 0 0 0 0
OW 2536 318 52 89 1 0 0 0
VODI 1233 143 63 205 171 4 0 0
ODI 0 8 23 78 201 179 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 100 1339 228 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 8 1172 3370 142
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87995 3114 69 50 0 0 0 0
OW 2397 301 88 197 36 0 0 0
VODI 1449 63 49 138 222 68 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 32 143 186 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 80 828 263 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1612 3324 142

Date: 2024-09-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88302 2849 90 27 0 0 0 0
OW 2477 307 51 128 3 0 0 0
VODI 1302 146 42 141 178 22 0 0
ODI 0 16 20 83 142 150 16 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 95 726 387 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 870 3626 660
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88288 2805 78 24 0 0 0 0
OW 2425 360 66 164 41 10 0 0
VODI 1368 148 47 128 169 74 8 0
ODI 0 5 12 65 132 160 35 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 76 660 410 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 864 3576 660


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