Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-09-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-09-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12256 4849 7 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1677 246 109 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 166 276 1361 359 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 6 400 5141 1520 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 512 3190 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13234 4023 9 0 0 0 0 0
OW 286 1367 210 135 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 163 230 1168 514 35 0 0
ODI 0 1 11 159 2641 2971 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 427 3960 526 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13565 4634 40 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 830 252 199 19 0 0 0
VODI 0 95 142 980 240 19 0 0
ODI 0 1 6 197 1860 407 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 700 4081 299 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 24 1880 1597 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13719 4473 14 4 0 0 0 0
OW 1 890 272 156 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 122 191 934 242 13 0 0
ODI 0 0 8 328 1599 328 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 849 3697 263 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 208 2646 1102 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13707 4463 27 9 0 0 0 0
OW 13 921 286 181 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 101 167 919 262 17 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 311 1602 341 5 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 835 4094 542 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 194 2232 823 0

Date: 2024-09-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13915 4170 11 0 0 0 0 0
OW 1 953 271 157 11 1 0 0
VODI 0 146 185 851 289 43 0 0
ODI 0 0 16 160 1393 546 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 161 2055 371 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 3210 3163 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13915 4210 30 0 0 0 0 0
OW 1 935 271 214 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 122 164 811 327 40 0 0
ODI 0 2 18 142 1387 681 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 130 2070 481 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 3064 3052 0

Date: 2024-09-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13350 4907 19 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 892 197 175 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 151 166 731 335 6 0 0
ODI 0 1 7 206 1264 989 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 90 6449 897 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 601 643 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13350 4718 14 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1059 201 237 24 0 0 0
VODI 0 163 156 693 377 47 0 0
ODI 0 11 18 152 1080 569 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 25 209 3113 21 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 4316 1519 0

Date: 2024-09-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14023 4313 7 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 747 244 191 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 142 149 657 319 42 0 0
ODI 0 6 13 179 1016 955 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 103 5473 767 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 964 1752 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14022 4032 35 20 1 0 0 0
OW 1 976 198 221 56 5 0 0
VODI 0 197 167 598 251 85 0 0
ODI 0 3 13 161 930 557 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 34 204 2177 100 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 3 4610 2425 0

Date: 2024-09-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13547 4824 18 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 642 227 254 31 1 0 0
VODI 0 124 108 594 325 102 0 0
ODI 0 4 8 133 625 712 41 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 105 2742 1061 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1645 4205 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13547 4397 45 52 34 4 0 0
OW 0 932 155 193 34 47 0 0
VODI 0 239 136 516 246 135 6 0
ODI 0 26 25 204 541 481 88 0
CDI 0 0 0 20 227 1331 456 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 4 3204 4757 0


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