Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-09-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-09-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19771 5465 37 24 0 0 0 0
OW 122 1981 336 160 52 8 0 0
VODI 5 401 348 1424 546 20 0 0
ODI 0 14 7 388 3788 2661 32 0
CDI 0 20 2 51 408 4260 475 0
VCDI 0 9 0 7 12 1466 1566 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20802 4553 20 1 0 0 0 0
OW 234 1995 234 155 8 0 0 0
VODI 70 518 367 1416 387 7 0 0
ODI 0 29 11 318 4087 1555 0 0
CDI 0 40 5 44 495 4221 1120 0
VCDI 0 3 0 8 34 1599 1530 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21440 5126 33 0 0 0 0 0
OW 57 1730 418 220 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 109 175 1253 194 0 0 0
ODI 0 26 6 362 2521 654 4 0
CDI 0 29 4 53 1002 4561 824 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 23 1403 3622 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20836 5882 38 6 0 0 0 0
OW 152 1627 363 227 4 0 0 0
VODI 3 158 225 1189 206 0 0 0
ODI 0 33 11 390 1929 499 9 0
CDI 0 30 9 52 693 4065 871 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 9 1981 4367 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20826 5935 85 15 0 0 0 0
OW 162 1517 288 222 5 0 0 0
VODI 3 210 247 1085 170 4 1 0
ODI 0 37 16 490 1953 566 11 0
CDI 0 31 10 44 695 3761 794 0
VCDI 0 0 0 10 18 2214 4441 0

Date: 2024-09-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21201 5487 106 63 3 0 0 0
OW 131 1320 317 328 100 6 0 0
VODI 0 176 172 1002 441 107 2 0
ODI 0 38 25 164 957 817 66 0
CDI 0 24 5 34 261 4539 1696 0
VCDI 0 3 0 4 8 2576 3687 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21204 5506 131 67 6 0 0 0
OW 128 1241 255 312 69 9 0 0
VODI 0 233 206 928 419 81 2 0
ODI 0 41 26 245 990 916 69 0
CDI 0 24 7 39 275 3987 1536 0
VCDI 0 3 0 4 11 3052 3844 0

Date: 2024-09-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20852 6417 179 111 0 0 0 0
OW 68 739 263 477 161 8 0 0
VODI 0 84 87 615 462 229 6 0
ODI 0 11 6 108 1053 1444 68 0
CDI 0 20 2 16 101 3756 2787 0
VCDI 0 1 1 0 0 1375 4359 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20795 6002 128 96 0 0 0 0
OW 122 1020 275 386 38 0 0 0
VODI 3 190 109 723 524 129 0 0
ODI 0 37 20 94 1054 627 76 0
CDI 0 19 4 28 151 3476 3255 0
VCDI 0 4 2 0 10 2580 3889 0

Date: 2024-09-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21097 6164 198 122 2 0 0 0
OW 141 656 230 515 137 4 0 0
VODI 11 37 53 336 739 210 7 0
ODI 0 14 6 70 743 1528 48 0
CDI 0 16 11 22 152 2101 1657 0
VCDI 0 1 0 0 2 1995 6837 4
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20991 5775 174 165 0 0 0 0
OW 217 841 213 364 141 6 0 0
VODI 41 193 85 419 557 243 38 0
ODI 0 51 10 92 697 781 62 0
CDI 0 28 16 25 371 2251 1661 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 9 2557 6788 4

Date: 2024-09-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20802 6119 161 220 8 0 0 0
OW 111 568 223 573 289 22 0 0
VODI 4 74 33 399 671 375 6 0
ODI 0 16 9 75 943 1052 59 0
CDI 0 14 6 39 295 2733 810 0
VCDI 0 2 0 1 22 3016 5569 547
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20682 5768 159 272 85 1 0 0
OW 205 667 170 408 236 100 1 0
VODI 30 252 72 388 592 322 31 0
ODI 0 71 23 180 568 437 87 0
CDI 0 31 8 58 725 1934 1615 0
VCDI 0 4 0 1 22 4404 4710 547


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