Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-09-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-08-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88977 2502 15 9 0 0 0 0
OW 2910 548 131 97 2 0 0 0
VODI 859 155 155 422 153 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 106 1003 208 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 410 2996 252 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 99 717 129
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88961 2396 15 4 0 0 0 0
OW 2939 638 113 119 2 0 0 0
VODI 830 160 145 386 180 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 100 795 375 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 291 3007 322 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 160 911 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88869 2660 33 7 0 0 0 0
OW 3047 567 149 124 0 0 0 0
VODI 654 51 105 415 143 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 70 1043 283 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 199 2977 400 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 56 1009 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88731 2687 47 26 0 0 0 0
OW 3009 416 125 279 16 0 0 0
VODI 693 25 64 390 218 4 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 45 790 362 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 244 2251 1008 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 100 1271 56
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88734 2702 38 23 0 0 0 0
OW 3027 409 143 273 22 0 0 0
VODI 672 17 56 401 233 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 44 768 343 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 245 2258 754 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 106 1526 56

Date: 2024-09-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88750 2645 30 12 0 0 0 0
OW 2962 473 163 201 6 0 0 0
VODI 696 40 75 421 139 1 0 0
ODI 0 2 9 74 505 231 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 182 2822 602 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 457 1363 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88764 2641 25 9 0 0 0 0
OW 2972 483 173 196 8 0 0 0
VODI 672 33 72 417 152 3 0 0
ODI 0 3 7 87 481 202 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 191 2780 530 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 526 1435 0

Date: 2024-09-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88441 2791 51 6 0 0 0 0
OW 2683 301 111 107 0 0 0 0
VODI 1064 31 112 466 77 2 0 0
ODI 0 6 7 136 649 121 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 176 3912 306 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 499 807 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88528 2646 38 3 0 0 0 0
OW 2893 449 179 223 1 0 0 0
VODI 767 28 54 399 208 3 0 0
ODI 0 6 10 81 374 144 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 319 2805 163 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1582 950 0

Date: 2024-09-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88026 2964 57 10 0 0 0 0
OW 2548 274 128 160 7 0 0 0
VODI 1270 15 60 396 206 12 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 6 432 292 17 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 55 2782 911 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 131 2103 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88113 2839 39 5 0 0 0 0
OW 2764 383 168 281 21 0 0 0
VODI 967 31 38 276 327 29 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 10 248 226 27 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 104 2107 297 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 855 2707 0

Date: 2024-09-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88023 3023 40 13 0 0 0 0
OW 2433 290 98 196 2 0 0 0
VODI 1464 19 39 256 255 40 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 11 168 318 37 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 33 842 688 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 1151 3417 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88115 2660 37 38 0 0 0 0
OW 2641 533 68 203 37 0 0 0
VODI 1164 137 74 210 227 59 0 0
ODI 0 2 2 25 177 269 46 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 17 822 780 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 1201 3316 0


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