Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2024-09-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-08-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11381 4792 14 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1795 249 183 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 349 308 1418 269 0 0 0
ODI 0 44 27 863 5415 562 0 0
CDI 0 4 9 23 1019 3348 9 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11670 4589 12 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1888 231 199 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 451 314 1334 216 6 0 0
ODI 0 59 33 920 5148 662 0 0
CDI 0 8 8 23 1698 2613 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11619 5415 28 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1424 397 277 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 120 168 1530 343 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 8 825 5520 1136 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 309 2962 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11470 5575 7 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1612 314 149 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 129 207 1408 408 12 0 0
ODI 0 2 11 486 4797 1884 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 368 3231 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 11470 5771 45 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1386 295 164 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 158 185 1378 519 17 0 0
ODI 0 3 14 496 4791 2293 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 263 2817 0 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2024-09-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12223 4942 10 1 0 0 0 0
OW 96 1553 229 136 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 137 251 1407 340 11 0 0
ODI 0 1 5 363 4708 1587 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 426 3545 111 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 12260 5082 12 1 0 0 0 0
OW 59 1403 242 150 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 147 237 1423 438 6 0 0
ODI 0 1 4 333 4617 1950 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 419 3187 111 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Date: 2024-09-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13546 4582 37 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 864 244 181 22 0 0 0
VODI 0 84 136 1020 243 14 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 163 2236 484 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 344 5126 74 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1336 1333 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13349 4097 33 32 10 0 0 0
OW 197 1223 203 232 55 3 0 0
VODI 0 197 167 963 699 165 0 0
ODI 0 14 16 147 1693 2728 58 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 388 4040 1349 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 24 0 0

Date: 2024-09-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13714 4521 23 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 917 233 149 25 0 0 0
VODI 0 118 167 908 264 17 0 0
ODI 0 1 6 249 1677 346 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 856 3680 366 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 76 2305 1452 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13592 4022 36 39 3 0 0 0
OW 122 1264 194 246 59 2 0 0
VODI 0 254 178 869 728 61 0 0
ODI 0 17 21 159 1906 1705 8 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 202 4423 1800 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 157 12 0

Date: 2024-09-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13857 4244 14 0 0 0 0 0
OW 1 948 246 151 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 142 221 872 254 22 0 0
ODI 0 2 14 298 1501 437 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 609 2352 738 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 51 3033 2061 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 13795 3835 49 22 0 0 0 0
OW 63 1216 268 342 31 1 0 0
VODI 0 274 154 790 680 129 2 0
ODI 0 11 23 162 1623 1702 145 0
CDI 0 0 1 9 89 3683 2550 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 329 104 0


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