Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-09-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-08-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18331 5067 29 10 0 0 0 0
OW 165 2941 450 223 2 0 0 0
VODI 21 304 464 2200 193 16 0 0
ODI 1 5 11 921 5059 698 12 0
CDI 0 17 4 42 984 3897 364 0
VCDI 0 12 1 13 39 697 2673 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18925 4541 9 3 0 0 0 0
OW 154 2905 414 213 5 0 0 0
VODI 19 366 520 2021 244 25 2 0
ODI 0 6 8 1071 4983 900 42 0
CDI 0 15 9 26 707 4096 384 0
VCDI 0 11 2 8 48 684 2500 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19214 5649 40 22 0 0 0 0
OW 192 1910 435 289 3 0 0 0
VODI 5 243 318 2147 238 3 0 0
ODI 0 10 5 956 5386 916 1 0
CDI 0 25 6 25 499 3962 427 0
VCDI 0 3 0 4 15 630 2288 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19753 5345 26 30 3 0 0 0
OW 154 1985 361 142 49 2 0 0
VODI 8 364 345 1742 418 7 0 0
ODI 0 26 14 904 4824 1482 0 0
CDI 0 22 5 42 520 3777 567 0
VCDI 0 7 0 10 11 825 2096 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 19776 5236 31 27 3 0 0 0
OW 135 2029 366 159 64 2 0 0
VODI 4 427 332 1759 500 9 0 0
ODI 0 25 17 874 4747 1584 0 0
CDI 0 27 5 42 494 3643 570 0
VCDI 0 5 0 9 17 855 2093 0

Date: 2024-09-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20367 4954 27 16 0 0 0 0
OW 169 1951 282 152 52 18 0 0
VODI 13 467 369 1447 427 10 0 0
ODI 0 22 11 493 4496 1386 0 0
CDI 0 27 3 55 369 4122 980 0
VCDI 0 9 0 4 20 1720 1428 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20364 4796 28 13 0 0 0 0
OW 172 2044 302 183 64 18 0 0
VODI 13 528 338 1372 469 10 0 0
ODI 0 23 20 533 4431 1780 3 0
CDI 0 31 4 62 358 3738 1024 0
VCDI 0 8 0 4 42 1710 1381 0

Date: 2024-09-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20911 5529 27 0 0 0 0 0
OW 71 1725 448 243 1 0 0 0
VODI 1 94 167 1244 216 0 0 0
ODI 0 23 6 310 3302 341 0 0
CDI 0 25 6 58 485 5714 829 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 12 1039 3038 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20808 4461 14 10 0 0 0 0
OW 168 2209 246 124 6 0 0 0
VODI 7 645 363 1200 398 38 0 0
ODI 0 36 22 453 3333 2184 236 0
CDI 0 45 9 48 234 3608 2121 0
VCDI 0 0 0 21 45 1264 1510 0

Date: 2024-09-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20826 5808 49 5 0 0 0 0
OW 124 1590 418 276 3 0 0 0
VODI 2 119 176 1215 234 1 0 0
ODI 0 32 8 301 2197 652 9 0
CDI 0 29 6 43 643 4448 869 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 9 1383 4389 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 20704 4821 28 13 0 0 0 0
OW 220 1941 252 182 13 0 0 0
VODI 28 710 337 1081 387 40 1 0
ODI 0 67 33 507 2178 2301 121 0
CDI 0 38 7 56 491 3689 2430 0
VCDI 0 1 0 3 17 454 2715 0

Date: 2024-09-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21228 5538 49 7 5 0 0 0
OW 137 1560 333 227 43 4 0 0
VODI 0 171 216 1174 296 12 1 0
ODI 0 34 17 338 1551 419 11 0
CDI 0 26 9 38 626 4045 1131 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 20 2659 3938 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21179 4534 41 5 3 0 0 0
OW 157 1918 187 168 52 4 0 0
VODI 29 776 348 994 326 47 1 0
ODI 0 62 32 559 1661 1524 47 0
CDI 0 39 16 58 487 4632 2493 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 12 932 2540 0


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