Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-09-05

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-08-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 118689 12361 58 20 0 0 0 0
OW 3075 5284 830 503 4 0 0 0
VODI 880 808 927 4040 615 18 0 0
ODI 1 49 43 1890 11477 1468 12 0
CDI 0 21 13 65 2413 10241 625 0
VCDI 0 12 1 13 39 796 3390 129
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 119556 11526 36 7 0 0 0 0
OW 3093 5431 758 531 7 0 0 0
VODI 849 977 979 3741 640 41 2 0
ODI 0 65 42 2091 10926 1937 44 0
CDI 0 23 17 49 2696 9716 706 0
VCDI 0 11 2 8 48 844 3411 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 119702 13724 101 29 0 0 0 0
OW 3239 3901 981 690 3 0 0 0
VODI 659 414 591 4092 724 5 0 0
ODI 0 10 13 1851 11949 2335 1 0
CDI 0 25 6 25 1007 9901 827 0
VCDI 0 3 0 4 15 686 3297 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-09-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 119954 13607 80 58 3 0 0 0
OW 3163 4013 800 570 65 2 0 0
VODI 701 518 616 3540 1044 23 0 0
ODI 0 28 27 1435 10411 3728 11 0
CDI 0 22 5 44 1132 9259 1575 0
VCDI 0 7 0 10 11 925 3367 56
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 119980 13709 114 58 3 0 0 0
OW 3162 3824 804 596 86 2 0 0
VODI 676 602 573 3538 1252 36 0 0
ODI 0 28 32 1414 10306 4220 10 0
CDI 0 27 5 42 1002 8718 1324 0
VCDI 0 5 0 9 17 961 3619 56

Date: 2024-09-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 121340 12541 67 29 0 0 0 0
OW 3227 3977 674 489 58 18 0 0
VODI 709 644 695 3275 906 22 0 0
ODI 0 25 25 930 9709 3204 0 0
CDI 0 27 3 56 977 10489 1693 0
VCDI 0 9 0 4 20 2177 2791 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 121388 12519 65 23 0 0 0 0
OW 3203 3930 717 529 72 18 0 0
VODI 685 708 647 3212 1059 19 0 0
ODI 0 27 31 953 9529 3932 3 0
CDI 0 31 4 62 968 9705 1665 0
VCDI 0 8 0 4 42 2236 2816 0

Date: 2024-09-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 122898 12902 115 16 0 0 0 0
OW 2754 2890 803 531 23 0 0 0
VODI 1065 209 415 2730 536 16 0 0
ODI 0 30 15 609 6187 946 0 0
CDI 0 25 6 58 1005 14752 1209 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 12 2874 5178 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 122685 11204 85 45 10 0 0 0
OW 3258 3881 628 579 62 3 0 0
VODI 774 870 584 2562 1305 206 0 0
ODI 0 56 48 681 5400 5056 294 0
CDI 0 45 9 57 941 10453 3633 0
VCDI 0 0 0 21 45 2870 2460 0

Date: 2024-09-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 122566 13293 129 24 0 0 0 0
OW 2672 2781 779 585 35 0 0 0
VODI 1272 252 403 2519 704 30 0 0
ODI 0 33 14 556 4306 1290 28 0
CDI 0 29 6 44 1554 10910 2146 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 85 3819 7944 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 122409 11682 103 57 3 0 0 0
OW 3106 3588 614 709 93 2 0 0
VODI 995 995 553 2226 1442 130 1 0
ODI 0 84 54 676 4332 4232 156 0
CDI 0 38 7 59 797 10219 4527 0
VCDI 0 1 0 3 17 1466 5434 0

Date: 2024-09-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 123108 12805 103 20 5 0 0 0
OW 2571 2798 677 574 53 4 0 0
VODI 1464 332 476 2302 805 74 1 0
ODI 0 36 35 647 3220 1174 50 0
CDI 0 26 9 42 1268 7239 2557 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 73 6843 9416 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 123089 11029 127 65 3 0 0 0
OW 2861 3667 523 713 120 5 0 0
VODI 1193 1187 576 1994 1233 235 3 0
ODI 0 75 57 746 3461 3495 238 0
CDI 0 39 17 67 593 9137 5823 0
VCDI 0 0 0 3 14 2462 5960 0


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