Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-08-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-08-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88831 2510 55 55 0 0 0 0
OW 2701 500 167 181 15 0 0 0
VODI 1060 88 92 542 173 13 0 0
ODI 0 0 8 110 1387 284 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 369 2782 226 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 49 646 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88912 2584 46 19 0 0 0 0
OW 2747 486 189 165 10 0 0 0
VODI 1015 96 125 468 182 15 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 65 832 562 10 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 261 2530 761 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 181 601 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 86946 4668 108 68 0 0 0 0
OW 2835 481 132 73 5 0 0 0
VODI 920 84 196 449 108 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 135 934 165 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 544 2848 452 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 32 669 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88987 2511 35 12 0 0 0 0
OW 2884 516 142 90 4 0 0 0
VODI 881 152 138 387 195 3 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 105 905 358 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 329 3284 131 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 50 760 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88982 2594 39 17 0 0 0 0
OW 2888 442 138 100 6 0 0 0
VODI 882 143 138 371 210 3 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 106 877 323 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 340 3328 135 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 41 756 0

Date: 2024-08-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88086 3325 23 38 3 0 0 0
OW 2934 629 119 94 0 0 0 0
VODI 838 170 159 407 137 3 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 124 905 239 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 408 2666 538 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 118 898 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88088 3425 33 41 3 0 0 0
OW 2931 528 115 106 0 0 0 0
VODI 839 170 147 394 155 11 0 0
ODI 0 1 6 122 798 190 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 497 2699 532 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 126 903 0

Date: 2024-09-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88900 2675 21 8 0 0 0 0
OW 3041 630 127 86 0 0 0 0
VODI 660 57 105 434 111 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 82 1146 234 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 324 2835 312 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 116 956 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88834 2558 19 7 0 0 0 0
OW 2953 618 112 116 0 0 0 0
VODI 814 184 117 386 198 9 0 0
ODI 0 2 5 100 714 201 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 669 2815 235 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 160 1033 0

Date: 2024-09-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88997 2525 24 5 0 0 0 0
OW 3033 573 117 140 1 0 0 0
VODI 665 57 96 433 130 0 0 0
ODI 0 1 2 63 901 326 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 282 2488 837 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 14 1141 10
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88937 2334 24 4 0 0 0 0
OW 2945 652 101 156 1 0 0 0
VODI 813 168 108 385 186 20 0 0
ODI 0 2 6 96 623 214 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 504 2577 960 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 17 1018 10

Date: 2024-09-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88757 2662 30 7 0 0 0 0
OW 2969 483 150 197 0 0 0 0
VODI 747 43 78 404 162 1 0 0
ODI 0 2 10 78 544 335 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 303 2428 876 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 157 1435 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88774 2446 29 6 0 0 0 0
OW 2926 610 136 212 6 0 0 0
VODI 773 125 83 339 199 16 1 0
ODI 0 9 20 124 457 375 4 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 346 2312 1009 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 218 1298 0


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