Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-08-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-08-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88009 2274 35 31 9 0 0 0
OW 2376 933 148 74 15 0 0 0
VODI 1471 258 243 584 123 12 0 0
ODI 0 4 10 242 1498 368 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 650 2502 793 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 18 181 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88170 2345 46 40 7 1 0 0
OW 2416 868 88 56 19 2 0 0
VODI 1426 261 196 518 178 16 0 0
ODI 0 1 6 187 1307 508 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 474 2568 946 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 12 188 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88452 2746 62 50 4 0 0 0
OW 2625 627 166 121 5 0 0 0
VODI 1127 30 106 597 181 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 117 1716 219 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 360 2337 503 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 31 630 33
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88833 2514 49 47 2 0 0 0
OW 2676 597 159 117 8 0 0 0
VODI 1085 76 132 566 135 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 127 1523 239 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 512 2765 197 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 179 312 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88836 2636 62 49 2 0 0 0
OW 2672 478 155 114 6 0 0 0
VODI 1086 73 123 547 119 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 147 1559 223 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 494 2735 158 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 222 351 0

Date: 2024-08-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88832 2565 55 33 0 0 0 0
OW 2720 464 185 196 16 0 0 0
VODI 1037 80 91 518 191 16 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 73 942 585 25 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 209 2487 746 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 97 699 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88834 2665 73 48 0 0 0 0
OW 2717 355 166 184 12 0 0 0
VODI 1038 89 91 497 162 13 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 91 962 636 24 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 222 2433 745 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 103 701 0

Date: 2024-08-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89021 2770 36 12 0 0 0 0
OW 2812 411 143 107 5 1 0 0
VODI 936 83 146 481 127 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 114 943 217 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 213 3244 283 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 52 698 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 89004 2718 51 20 1 0 0 0
OW 2772 383 135 162 13 1 0 0
VODI 993 163 129 389 120 15 0 0
ODI 0 0 11 140 846 350 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 308 3000 781 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 154 199 0

Date: 2024-08-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88071 3497 62 25 1 0 0 0
OW 2858 459 146 108 6 0 0 0
VODI 900 114 172 417 158 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 3 121 922 281 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 316 3359 164 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 70 630 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88054 3492 90 26 0 0 0 0
OW 2824 398 140 186 14 0 0 0
VODI 951 176 137 321 196 6 0 0
ODI 0 4 16 137 751 510 3 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 437 3099 675 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 5 97 116 0

Date: 2024-08-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88977 2502 15 9 0 0 0 0
OW 2910 548 131 97 2 0 0 0
VODI 859 155 155 422 153 2 0 0
ODI 0 0 5 106 1003 208 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 410 2996 252 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 99 717 129
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88968 2488 24 11 0 0 0 0
OW 2866 548 117 147 2 0 0 0
VODI 912 162 154 337 165 10 0 0
ODI 0 7 11 138 772 403 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 1 629 2784 801 39
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 108 162 90


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