Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2024-08-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-08-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15414 4584 35 2 0 0 0 0
OW 53 2511 222 132 0 0 0 0
VODI 24 709 622 3138 411 18 0 0
ODI 4 91 34 1064 4273 879 34 0
CDI 0 72 27 97 1243 6399 2128 0
VCDI 0 18 8 30 134 367 1089 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15794 4298 11 0 0 0 0 0
OW 64 2479 236 156 9 0 0 0
VODI 27 1009 638 3195 367 37 5 0
ODI 14 100 31 1123 4037 1170 35 0
CDI 22 111 14 40 1230 5710 2250 0
VCDI 0 6 5 17 162 654 810 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 15619 5634 35 15 0 0 0 0
OW 72 2574 450 259 0 0 0 0
VODI 26 358 487 3538 297 5 0 0
ODI 9 44 9 432 4974 1126 11 0
CDI 12 26 3 22 935 4218 245 0
VCDI 0 6 4 11 73 1401 2566 370
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18050 3501 34 0 0 0 0 0
OW 118 2564 318 83 0 0 0 0
VODI 31 671 801 2886 238 0 0 0
ODI 18 44 32 612 5625 892 0 0
CDI 6 9 1 27 861 4314 215 0
VCDI 0 22 1 10 49 1571 2262 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18039 3641 32 1 0 0 0 0
OW 129 2364 288 88 0 0 0 0
VODI 31 725 823 2932 298 1 0 0
ODI 17 50 40 551 5413 977 0 0
CDI 7 12 3 37 1016 4191 251 0
VCDI 0 19 1 9 46 1608 2226 0

Date: 2024-08-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17826 3931 24 1 0 0 0 0
OW 208 2400 277 149 11 0 0 0
VODI 53 866 786 2601 230 34 0 0
ODI 18 46 19 893 5663 1370 65 0
CDI 4 9 0 20 845 3373 338 0
VCDI 0 21 1 11 39 1387 2347 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17817 3911 22 0 0 0 0 0
OW 211 2341 265 142 12 0 0 0
VODI 56 938 799 2679 322 53 1 0
ODI 19 53 19 813 5485 1412 64 0
CDI 6 14 1 32 935 3337 357 0
VCDI 0 16 1 9 34 1362 2328 0

Date: 2024-08-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17436 5294 45 13 0 0 0 0
OW 215 2706 731 319 0 0 0 0
VODI 19 157 326 2478 260 2 0 0
ODI 9 1 3 630 5044 866 0 0
CDI 0 28 1 18 587 4899 295 0
VCDI 0 2 0 4 18 642 2818 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17199 4333 37 12 0 0 0 0
OW 405 2512 216 87 0 0 0 0
VODI 51 1263 825 2287 359 43 1 0
ODI 20 50 25 1030 4710 2250 46 0
CDI 4 27 3 41 813 3243 369 0
VCDI 0 3 0 5 27 873 2697 0

Date: 2024-08-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18839 4276 19 3 0 0 0 0
OW 196 2835 613 241 0 0 0 0
VODI 23 253 522 2220 205 6 0 0
ODI 7 3 5 698 4854 776 4 0
CDI 0 15 2 23 738 4472 597 0
VCDI 0 13 0 15 23 509 2861 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18571 3146 11 3 0 0 0 0
OW 440 2678 228 113 0 0 0 0
VODI 36 1495 858 1893 303 29 0 0
ODI 16 47 59 1102 4705 2052 26 0
CDI 2 19 5 74 791 2802 974 0
VCDI 0 10 0 15 21 880 2462 0

Date: 2024-08-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18331 5067 29 10 0 0 0 0
OW 165 2941 450 223 2 0 0 0
VODI 21 304 464 2200 193 16 0 0
ODI 1 5 11 921 5059 698 12 0
CDI 0 17 4 42 984 3897 364 0
VCDI 0 12 1 13 39 697 2673 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 17999 3827 23 11 0 0 0 0
OW 466 3027 255 166 1 0 0 0
VODI 44 1417 600 1858 375 61 1 0
ODI 9 45 72 1286 5030 1353 77 0
CDI 0 5 7 69 798 2748 407 0
VCDI 0 25 2 19 73 1146 2564 0


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