Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2024-08-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-08-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 113281 10669 71 33 9 0 0 0
OW 2430 5130 563 309 15 0 0 0
VODI 1495 1561 1375 6114 923 38 0 0
ODI 4 147 71 2066 10758 2364 36 0
CDI 0 75 35 118 3150 12857 3268 0
VCDI 0 18 8 30 134 385 1270 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 113967 10302 57 40 7 1 0 0
OW 2480 5131 520 368 30 2 0 0
VODI 1453 1923 1273 5987 984 57 5 0
ODI 14 158 79 2122 10362 2908 39 0
CDI 22 119 20 65 3164 11928 3369 0
VCDI 0 6 5 17 162 666 998 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 114210 12792 108 67 4 0 0 0
OW 2697 4967 1034 572 11 0 0 0
VODI 1153 649 1030 6193 839 33 0 0
ODI 9 49 16 1406 12759 2179 11 0
CDI 12 26 3 37 1898 10101 820 0
VCDI 0 6 4 11 73 1432 3196 403
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 117204 10244 93 47 2 0 0 0
OW 2794 5031 890 384 13 0 0 0
VODI 1116 1035 1373 5472 802 19 0 0
ODI 18 48 38 1286 13004 2365 0 0
CDI 6 9 3 45 1903 10747 413 0
VCDI 0 22 1 10 49 1750 2574 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 117196 10592 107 50 2 0 0 0
OW 2801 4611 828 419 11 0 0 0
VODI 1117 1101 1411 5476 907 19 0 0
ODI 17 54 47 1233 12682 2322 0 0
CDI 7 12 4 57 2125 10691 410 0
VCDI 0 19 1 9 46 1849 2577 0

Date: 2024-08-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 117203 10613 80 34 0 0 0 0
OW 2928 4900 758 503 30 0 0 0
VODI 1090 1484 1364 4832 810 65 0 0
ODI 18 63 40 1647 12213 3383 144 0
CDI 4 9 1 38 1533 9310 1111 0
VCDI 0 21 1 11 39 1484 3046 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 117196 10805 97 48 0 0 0 0
OW 2928 4596 744 518 32 0 0 0
VODI 1094 1587 1359 4887 941 82 1 0
ODI 19 72 42 1560 11829 3545 155 0
CDI 6 14 1 43 1789 9150 1116 0
VCDI 0 16 1 9 34 1465 3029 0

Date: 2024-08-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 117157 12936 89 25 0 0 0 0
OW 3027 4807 1355 712 5 1 0 0
VODI 955 376 767 4568 725 10 0 0
ODI 9 1 8 1412 11484 1934 0 0
CDI 0 28 1 18 1047 12275 670 0
VCDI 0 2 0 4 18 766 3618 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 116903 11123 93 33 1 0 0 0
OW 3177 4994 672 422 16 1 0 0
VODI 1044 1936 1390 4332 935 78 1 0
ODI 20 67 62 1891 10820 4124 204 0
CDI 4 27 3 56 1480 9756 1187 0
VCDI 0 3 0 5 27 1027 2896 0

Date: 2024-08-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 118221 12416 88 28 1 0 0 0
OW 3054 5218 1063 442 8 0 0 0
VODI 923 707 1058 4136 534 8 0 0
ODI 7 27 35 1827 11126 1454 4 0
CDI 0 15 5 40 3481 9932 761 0
VCDI 0 13 0 15 26 646 3491 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 117910 10299 104 29 0 0 0 0
OW 3290 5484 597 393 17 0 0 0
VODI 987 2442 1408 3666 863 40 0 0
ODI 16 139 127 2276 10681 3607 29 0
CDI 2 22 13 109 3589 7416 1649 0
VCDI 0 10 0 15 26 977 2578 0

Date: 2024-08-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 118689 12361 58 20 0 0 0 0
OW 3075 5284 830 503 4 0 0 0
VODI 880 808 927 4040 615 18 0 0
ODI 1 49 43 1890 11477 1468 12 0
CDI 0 21 13 65 2413 10241 625 0
VCDI 0 12 1 13 39 796 3390 129
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 118332 10039 69 29 0 0 0 0
OW 3348 5938 552 493 7 0 0 0
VODI 956 2387 1100 3513 1031 80 1 0
ODI 9 134 133 2385 10725 3041 86 0
CDI 0 12 16 92 2712 8148 1214 39
VCDI 0 25 2 19 73 1254 2726 90


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