Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2024-08-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2024-08-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85383 3888 55 20 0 0 0 0
OW 2244 895 181 206 30 0 1 0
VODI 1717 191 203 577 219 32 5 0
ODI 0 2 4 172 1232 781 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 131 2572 1752 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 0 339 13
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87380 2179 39 11 3 0 0 0
OW 2228 955 178 186 33 1 0 0
VODI 1681 212 158 548 141 38 2 0
ODI 0 5 17 274 1122 500 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 316 3394 888 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 3 361 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87396 2620 58 36 8 0 0 0
OW 2327 948 164 129 27 0 0 0
VODI 1540 101 190 701 161 16 0 0
ODI 0 0 2 189 1491 305 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 221 3374 653 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 54 145 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2024-08-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87702 2476 34 33 6 0 0 0
OW 2359 937 127 126 16 0 0 0
VODI 1496 243 213 613 164 9 0 0
ODI 0 3 11 280 1370 416 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 566 2972 550 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 7 133 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87698 2601 31 40 7 0 0 0
OW 2361 825 131 119 13 0 0 0
VODI 1498 230 211 621 174 9 0 0
ODI 0 3 12 272 1290 302 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 638 3067 488 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 26 195 0

Date: 2024-08-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87918 2437 51 46 14 0 0 0
OW 2398 888 117 79 21 0 0 0
VODI 1447 251 217 562 152 16 1 0
ODI 0 2 6 208 1542 379 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 370 2352 1205 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 16 154 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87983 2560 45 40 10 0 0 0
OW 2468 771 135 82 24 0 0 0
VODI 1312 245 202 564 183 15 1 0
ODI 0 2 9 209 1354 310 11 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 528 2384 1136 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 54 225 0

Date: 2024-08-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88397 2707 53 63 8 0 0 0
OW 2607 655 176 93 9 0 0 0
VODI 1149 26 115 641 156 10 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 109 1730 173 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 231 2972 195 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 189 379 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88382 2368 28 40 0 0 0 0
OW 2504 736 114 73 13 0 0 0
VODI 1267 284 198 560 139 22 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 232 1301 200 9 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 681 3074 505 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 48 73 0

Date: 2024-08-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88549 2744 39 55 7 0 0 0
OW 2645 605 163 132 9 0 0 0
VODI 1106 51 111 604 143 8 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 86 1763 134 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 333 2622 342 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 65 536 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88532 2359 30 42 0 0 0 0
OW 2548 711 94 85 17 0 0 0
VODI 1220 326 180 521 130 17 0 0
ODI 0 4 9 229 1238 246 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 870 2561 749 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 5 129 0

Date: 2024-08-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88831 2510 55 55 0 0 0 0
OW 2701 500 167 181 15 0 0 0
VODI 1060 88 92 542 173 13 0 0
ODI 0 0 8 110 1387 284 15 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 369 2782 226 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 49 646 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88804 2266 39 29 0 0 0 0
OW 2622 510 133 157 33 3 0 0
VODI 1166 294 129 502 204 30 6 0
ODI 0 28 18 177 1007 426 41 0
CDI 0 0 3 26 700 2668 657 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 0 1 183 0


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